Apparently amusement parks were invented by streetcar companies to take advantage of spare electrical generating capacity (Via "Routes of Power")

-- Brian Potter (@_brianpotter) Sat May 20 13:21:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @balajis

I’m not an orthodox libertarian
I disagree with this state
But not *all* states
Functional public infra is good
High trust societies are good
To build them though
We need to agree the present is bad
And get consensus on the problem
Before we get to a solution

-- Balaji (@balajis) Sun May 21 01:49:24 +0000 2023

Balaji tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The silliness of La Sombrita prompted me to write a giant rant about how excessive reliance on nonprofits is hurting the progressive project.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 22:25:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

🗣️🗣️🗣️

-- fox 🦊🏳️‍🌈 (@soft_fox_lad) Sun May 21 05:46:57 +0000 2023

fox 🦊🏳️‍🌈 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The silliness of La Sombrita prompted me to write a giant rant about how excessive reliance on nonprofits is hurting the progressive project.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 22:25:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Very interesting thread. Open to counter arguments but there’s some excellent points made here. https://twitter.com/garrytan/status/1659970755717894144

-- Rina (Parody) (@rinanpakkala) Sun May 21 06:32:13 +0000 2023

👇👇👇

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 07:23:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My toxic trait is that I think the European academic inclination towards demystifying art, artworks, art-making, although understandable from a historical point of view, is actively counterproductive to the creation and enjoyment of good art and perverse.

-- Janelle Monae Stan Acct tbh 👁 (@csilverandgold) Sat May 20 17:22:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

That’s a huge number. Putins damage to Russia will be deep and long.

-- Michael McFaul (@McFaul) Sat May 20 17:27:10 +0000 2023

Michael McFaul tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Brain drain on steroids: Russia has lost 50,000 scientists in the past 5 years, according to a senior member of the Russian Academy of Scientists

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/05/18/russia-has-lost-50k-scientists-in-5-years-ras-a81196

-- Robbie Gramer (@RobbieGramer) Sat May 20 17:15:10 +0000 2023

We really pulled the Reverse OPEC here. Our price cap allowed China and India to force Russia to sell tons of oil to them at a deep discount, thus keeping prices down and supply high.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 08:37:39 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Sanctions against Russia are working.

"Russia’s oil revenues in March were down 43 percent from a year earlier... The government’s tax receipts from the oil and gas sectors were down by nearly two-thirds from a year ago."
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/18/business/economy/g7-biden-oil-price-cap-russia.html?smid=tw-share

-- Michael McFaul (@McFaul) Sat May 20 16:00:37 +0000 2023

Oh God this show was such hot garbage. It had people walking around in a "fantasy" world wearing clothes from H&M. No plot elements made any sense and the dialogue was pure pain.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 09:57:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

ICYMI: Disney Plus series Willow may not be cancelled after all as showrunner Jon Kasdan has claimed neither he nor Lucasfilm would consider the show to be over. https://bit.ly/3YPCI1e

-- IGN (@IGN) Sun Mar 19 15:00:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The final stage of "redpilling" is the breakdown of all dignity.

You follow and follow the Trump memes until you pass through a glowing light, and on the other side, you transform into some kind of permanent internet muppet who commands no respect among other adults.

-- Michael Edison Hayden (@MichaelEHayden) Sun May 21 04:11:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

India is now building highways at the rate of 100 kilometers in 100 hours.

-- Balaji (@balajis) Sun May 21 07:16:49 +0000 2023

Balaji tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Proud moment for the entire nation!

The Ghaziabad-Aligarh Expressway has made history by achieving a remarkable feat: the laying of Bituminous Concrete over a distance of 100 lane kilometers in an unprecedented time of 100 hours. This accomplishment highlights the dedication and… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1659484858769604608

-- Nitin Gadkari (@nitin_gadkari) Fri May 19 09:03:16 +0000 2023

Outsourcing core government functions to nonprofits is a type of privatization.

It's an invitation to inefficiency and corruption, it degrades state capacity, and it's hurting progressivism.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 11:30:00 +0000 2023

In the 70s, progressives and conservatives basically made a tacit grand bargain to replace much of the civil service with nonprofit organizations.

It is not going well.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 15:00:03 +0000 2023

Well that's not good

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3221238/just-over-half-mainland-chinese-people-back-full-scale-war-take-control-taiwan-poll-finds

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 16:06:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Twitter claims everyone in the end

-- rohit (@krishnanrohit) Sun May 21 16:18:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Russian scientists clearly want to flee their country.

Let’s copy the “Soviet Scientists Immigration Act” and let them immigrate to the US.

It would weaken Russia and strengthen America 🇺🇸

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Sun May 21 11:25:57 +0000 2023

Oh hell yeah Gavin

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:13:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"The only way to achieve California’s world-leading climate goals is to build, build, build – faster," said Governor @GavinNewsom as he introduced the state's own permitting reform legislation to accelerate the building of clean infrastructure. https://www.gov.ca.gov/2023/05/19/governor-newsom-unveils-new-proposals-to-build-californias-clean-future-faster/

-- JesseJenkins (@JesseJenkins) Sun May 21 03:41:28 +0000 2023

I'm not sure rabbits enjoy being on boats, but this is a giant rabbit, and they're really pretty chill about anything.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:15:27 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

If giant rabbits lived more than 7 years they'd be the ultimate pet.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:16:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Since the start of 2023, I've been promoting a fictional youth culture every day with AI. The algorithm has now learned my face, and for the first time, I can truly inhabit this world I've fabricated 👽🫶✨… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1660207316002811906

-- Emi Kusano🌠 (@emikusano) Sun May 21 08:54:03 +0000 2023

Nothing warms my heart like seeing Japan and Korea be friends.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:17:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida together laid flowers at a memorial for Korean atomic bomb victims in Hiroshima https://trib.al/QYyefqj

-- Bloomberg (@business) Sun May 21 01:23:17 +0000 2023

Paul is of course correct that the Lucas Islands Model was not influential. But it was only ever a tiny part of Lucas' influence on macro; no one bought it even back then. Lucas' project may have been a failure, but it went far, far beyond that one model.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:20:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

OK, something that isn't about the d*** c*******. Obituaries have acknowledged his brilliance and huge influence, all of which is true. But I think it's important to realize that his project to reform macroeconomics was a failure 1/ https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/17/business/economy/robert-e-lucas-jr-dead.html

-- Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) Sun May 21 11:35:17 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Oh and I had to sit there and think for a while before I realized that "d*** c*******" was "debt ceiling"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:21:34 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Full results are slightly less concerning, but still highly concerning

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:43:05 +0000 2023

Prohibiting people from *renting* property in certain areas, based on national origin, is a step up from preventing people from *buying* property.

These laws are going from bad to worse.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:48:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We must keep an eye on these new xenophobic state-level policies that threaten to derail the lives of foreign citizens from “adversarial nations.”

The passing of these bills will only embolden exclusionary moves in the name of national security. http://reappropriate.co/2023/05/louisiana-state-bills-would-ban-some-foreign-nationals-from-buying-or-renting-property/

-- Frankie Huang 黄碧赤 (psst find me on bluesky) (@ourobororoboruo) Sun May 21 14:37:18 +0000 2023

Sweden is one of the rare cases where some of this IS due to outsourcing of emissions.

But...not that much.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 17:51:16 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Average incomes in Sweden have doubled while CO2 emissions have halved.

-- Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) Sun May 21 14:12:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"Nonprofits are a part of the private sector. Having nonprofits do things like design infrastructure or administer welfare benefits instead of having government employees do these things is outsourcing government functions to the private sector."

-- Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ (@besttrousers) Sun May 21 17:35:01 +0000 2023

Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

In the 70s, progressives and conservatives basically made a tacit grand bargain to replace much of the civil service with nonprofit organizations.

It is not going well.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 15:00:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

@Noahpinion Why US needs allies. Japan and South Korea combined beats China.

-- I watched C-beams glitter in the dark 🇺🇦🇨🇦🇹🇼 (@accidentalflyer) Sun May 21 17:47:49 +0000 2023

I watched C-beams glitter in the dark 🇺🇦🇨🇦🇹🇼 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Top 15 Shipbuilding Countries in the World by Tonnage:

15. 🇮🇳 0.12%
14. 🇳🇱 0.19%
13. 🇹🇷 0.22%
12. 🇷🇺 0.22%
11. 🇳🇴 0.29%
10. 🇫🇷 0.29%
9. 🇹🇼 0.30%
8. 🇫🇮 0.36%
7. 🇻🇳 0.61%
6. 🇩🇪 0.63%
5. 🇮🇹 0.82%
4. 🇵🇭 1.06%
3. 🇯🇵 17.6%
2. 🇰🇷 32.4%
1. 🇨🇳 44.2%

United States 0.05%

-- Sal Mercogliano (WGOW Shipping) 🚢⚓🐪🚒🏴‍☠️ (@mercoglianos) Sun May 21 14:41:38 +0000 2023

🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 18:19:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Read @LandersWSJ's terrific profile of Japan's emergence as the un-China, a politically stable supplier of some of the world's most vital tech, drawing visits from Apple, Intel, OpenAI, Google. Be sure to read through to the kicker. https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-contrast-to-china-japan-at-g-7-basks-in-newfound-appeal-to-companies-c3da2ce

-- Greg Ip (@greg_ip) Sun May 21 17:37:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"In  the 1970s, Exxon played a key role in the foundation of the lithium industry. Exxon chemist Stanley Whittingham won a Nobel Prize in 2019 for helping to develop the lithium ion battery while working at Exxon’s corporate laboratory in Linden, N.J."

-- Todd N. Tucker (@toddntucker) Sun May 21 16:01:12 +0000 2023

Todd N. Tucker tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Big oil begins to pull the thread on lithium.

V interesting read. The focus is oilfield brine in Arkansas.

Not just one of the biggest natural resources companies but one of the biggest companies period.

⁦@WSJ⁩ https://www.wsj.com/articles/exxon-joins-hunt-for-lithium-in-bet-on-ev-boom-1d72cdd6

-- Simon Moores (@sdmoores) Sun May 21 15:20:33 +0000 2023

You can tell the degrowthers are very serious people because they think colonialism is still ongoing.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 18:43:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

No #degrowth without #decolonization.

Watch my closing speech at the #BeyondGrowth conference in the European Parliament 👇🏼

https://www.beyond-growth-2023.eu/lecture/closing-plenary/

-- Anuna De Wever Van Der Heyden (@AnunaDe) Fri May 19 09:07:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Groups like TODCO in San Francisco are examples of non-profits that have strayed far from their mission and are mostly political influence rackets.

-- Jim Ausman (@I_Heart_Frisco) Sun May 21 18:44:33 +0000 2023

Jim Ausman tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

In the 70s, progressives and conservatives basically made a tacit grand bargain to replace much of the civil service with nonprofit organizations.

It is not going well.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 15:00:03 +0000 2023

Rabbits are the only animal known to have defeated a U.S. President in single combat.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLKiZJVNn9g

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 19:03:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Reminder:

Only one other country in the whole world has a debt ceiling (and even they handle it way differently than we do)

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Sun May 21 19:33:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

At work, I sit next to an Austrian, a Moroccan, a Chilean. My manager is Greek. That’s just in our row. Broadly across NY-LDN, we have a French, two Indians, and a few more Chinese. Pretty insane when I think about just how international the American workforce is!

-- Steve Hou (“CONSUME LESS!”) (@stevehouf) Sun May 21 17:34:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

My basic issue with the "manosphere" is that it's not businessmen and old players telling young fellows how to get married or even get better in bed ("Go South, Young Man!").

It's guys with names like LottaHoesKing giving advice on how to have lots of sex with unstable women.

-- Wilfred X. Reilly, Californian (@wil_da_beast630) Sun May 21 19:36:06 +0000 2023

Honestly, the abstinence people won

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:12:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

losing it at this lady preaching abstinence at LSU and the students just going buck wild

-- Robert Komaniecki (@Komaniecki_R) Fri May 19 19:36:06 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Honestly, Americans who cheer for Japan and Korea to hate each other forever based on history, just because they're taking a 5-minute break from their own historical grudges against other Americans, need to get a frigging hobby

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:19:52 +0000 2023

People who think the Japanese "rising sun" battle standard is some kind of swastika-like special fascist flag created for the WW2 era are idiots. Japanese fascists revere the regular old flag of Japan, and the imperial chrysanthemum seal, more than the "rising sun" flag.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:23:56 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

The reason misinformed people think the "rising sun" flag is a special swastika-like symbol is that it's the flag of the Japanese army (and still is! present tense!). So when the Japanese army murdered tens of millions of people in WW2, that was the flag people saw them flying.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:26:05 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

The "rising sun" flag is also the flag of the Asahi Shimbun, Japan's premier left-wing newspaper, which has been at the forefront of bringing the "comfort women" issue to light.

(Why a newspaper needs a flag I have no idea.)

https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Flag_of_the_Asahi_Shinbun_Company.svg

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:29:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It's fr time to work on Tx housing-- we must prioritize the well-being of seniors, the Middle Class, Teachers, and Nurses! Lawmakers MUST make it more affordable and expand housing options by restoring their right to build ADUs, also known as In-law suites, in their own… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1660380490447327233

-- 𝔊𝔯𝔦𝔪𝔢𝔰 (@Grimezsz) Sun May 21 20:22:11 +0000 2023

For more insights into the ancient and unique culture of Japan, see this thread I wrote last August:

https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1563068360773881856 https://twitter.com/eliweisss/status/1659917157042466817

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 20:38:10 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Most important concept right here:

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 21:16:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

Nameneko - なめ猫

Sometimes your ID is a picture of your own face.

Sometimes, it is a picture of a cat.

This cannot be explained.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri Aug 26 08:01:43 +0000 2022

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Young Chinese Are Angry, Jobless, and Wondering Why They Went to University, good piece for ⁦@ForeignPolicy⁩ by ⁦@CindyXiaodanYu⁩ (host of the excellent Chinese Whispers podcast), with a nice analysis of the Kong Yiji phenomenon for Lu Xun fans https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/05/17/china-youth-unemployment-economy-kong-yiji/

-- Jeff Wasserstrom (@jwassers) Sun May 21 18:00:37 +0000 2023

Here is a very simple rough way of thinking about how much aging hurts an economy.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 22:10:07 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Ukrainian refugee settled in Columbus, OH returns to Kyiv because of Columbus' shitty bus service and lack of child care.
https://mastodon.social/@BenRossTransit/110401596986154462

-- number one dad jazz fan (@michaelcoyote) Sat May 20 22:30:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Excellent from Macron on Ukraine: "Peace cannot be turning the situation into a frozen conflict... experience teaches us that a frozen conflict will be a war for tmrw...peace must...respect UN charter"
hopefully puts to bed the harebrained schemes some have been trying to concoct

-- Rym Momtaz ريم ممتاز (@RymMomtaz) Sun May 21 19:13:06 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Another tankie myth debunked. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-war-began-putin-rejected-ukraine-peace-deal-recommended-by-his-aide-2022-09-14/

-- Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) Sun May 21 18:06:36 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 23:27:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"How would you respond to the [claims of Russian Foreign affairs ministry] that supplying F-16s is a colossal risk?" - @POTUS was asked in Hiroshima at the G7 Summit.

"It is for them" he replied.

-- Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) Sun May 21 16:47:11 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The computational challenges of economic complexity — and whether AI could potentially address these — is really well addressed by Cosma Shalizi here, discussing the great book Red Plenty on the Soviet Union's planning challenges
https://crookedtimber.org/2012/05/30/in-soviet-union-optimization-problem-solves-you/
https://www.amazon.com/Red-Plenty-Francis-Spufford/dp/1555976042

-- Arpit Gupta (@arpitrage) Sun May 21 21:07:50 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

As a Californian, I appreciate England’s commitment to having the worst land use policy regime in the anglosphere.

-- Max Dubler 🏳️‍🌈 (@maxdubler) Sun May 21 19:22:25 +0000 2023

Max Dubler 🏳️‍🌈 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

our "veto points everywhere" style of government has, among other things, created a million committees you've never heard of staffed by the dumbest boomer busybodies who take great self-righteous pride in strangling our future

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/db22d664-f65e-11ed-8aec-1014d109ef78?shareToken=d5efc54440872a1c7625fc22d9d58a40

-- Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li (@perdricof) Sun May 21 19:08:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

You can find the Quad leaders' Vision Statement and the Joint Statement here:

https://www.mofa.go.jp/fp/nsp/page1e_000691.html

-- Yuka C Koshino | 越野 結花 (@YukaKoshino) Sun May 21 09:16:40 +0000 2023

Yuka C Koshino | 越野 結花 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

PM Kishida: We held an in-person Japan-Australia-India-U.S. (#Quad) Leaders’ Meeting, following the in-person meeting held last year. It is of great significance that through cooperation among the Quad we demonstrate our determination to uphold the free and open (1/2)

-- PM's Office of Japan (@JPN_PMO) Sun May 21 05:03:30 +0000 2023

Somehow I hadn't seen this paper before, but I *have* read quite a bit about comparative welfare states, and the short version is that U.S. social spending is:

* a bit on the low end
* more heavily targeted toward the poor
* a kludgey overcomplicated patchwork of programs

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 03:59:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

a fine account of 30+ years of change in tech: https://tinyurl.com/2dwgck2j by @Noahpinion and wondering if anything like this can be said about formal education.

-- Chris Bigum (@cj13) Sat May 20 04:05:29 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:20:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We saw plenty of discussion about our “La Sombrita” pilot: the new shade and lighting structure design we’ve debuted at four bus stops. Here’s how a small structure can make a big difference for riders who depend on public transit. https://spectrumnews1.com/ca/la-east/transportation/2023/05/18/ladot-introduces-new-shaded--lighted--solar-powered-bus-shelters

-- LADOT (@LADOTofficial) Fri May 19 21:23:03 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:24:49 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:26:38 +0000 2023

China's grand plan for winning international influence:

1. Launch money at other countries out of a T-shirt cannon

2. Hahaha you thought that was a gift? It was a LOAN, now pay us back suckers

https://fortune.com/2023/05/18/china-belt-road-loans-pakistan-sri-lanka-africa-collapse-economic-instability/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:40:49 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Oh goodie, let's run our global infrastructure program like a giant extortion racket, that'll endear us to the people of Earth...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:46:07 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

OH THIS IS ALL GOING SO WELL

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:47:08 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Wow, I bet Pakistan is going to fall all over itself to support China's geopolitical aims now that China's debt extortion is forcing Pakistanis to *literally contemplate suicide*

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:49:03 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I'm not sure that even the most hardened skeptic of Belt and Road could have predicted just how badly this all would go

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:51:35 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I would say some smug-ass thing like "At thissss point, if you take money from China, you have only yoursellllf to blame!", except really a bunch of corrupt elites in those countries got to line their own pockets while their impoverished people are on the hook for the loans...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 04:55:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion I didn't believe that the LA government could construct a bus shelter more ridiculous and useless than the Santa Monica bus shelters.

But with a lot of creativity and hard work they have managed to outdo my expectations.

-- Juan Bandini (@CasaDeBandini) Sat May 20 03:50:19 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The line waiting to get into Harajuku icon Kyary Pamyu Pamyu's live show in Chicago was 1 km (over half a mile) long.

-- Tokyo Fashion (@TokyoFashion) Sat May 20 06:26:11 +0000 2023

Tokyo Fashion tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

推定約1km💦

in Chicago 🇺🇸

-- きゃりーぱみゅぱみゅ スタッフ / Kyary Pamyu Pamyu staff (@kyarystaff) Fri May 19 23:09:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion This is correct.

-- Peter Dowdy (@__cosmopolite__) Sat May 20 06:31:56 +0000 2023

LOLLLLLLL

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 06:53:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Wait…WHAT?!?!!

-- Robert A George (@RobGeorge) Sat May 20 02:31:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

President Zelenskyy is inbound to Hiroshima Airport.

What's interesting is that China has given permission that the plane, which is officially part of the French Air Force, to enter Chinese air space. Subtle messaging ongoing here. I wonder what's President Zelenskyy's next… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1659809075264122882

-- (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) Sat May 20 06:31:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“Typical bus shelters cost $50k or more and require coordination among 8 departments”

-- Neoliberal 🌐🇺🇦 (@ne0liberal) Sat May 20 01:31:35 +0000 2023

Neoliberal 🌐🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Kounkuey

Typical bus shelters often cost $50k or more and require coordination among 8 departments. La Sombrita (in its most expensive, prototype form) costs approximately 15% of the price of a typical bus shelter and can be installed in 30 minutes or less.

-- Kounkuey [KDI] (@Kounkuey) Sat May 20 00:16:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This extremely impressive turnaround in performance is a great example of the value of funding science.

-- Paul Nightingale (@Nightingale_P) Thu May 18 18:35:50 +0000 2023

Paul Nightingale tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Reading ability of children in England transformed https://www.theguardian.com/education/2023/may/16/reading-ability-of-children-in-england-scores-well-in-global-survey?CMP=share_btn_tw

-- Paul Nightingale (@Nightingale_P) Thu May 18 18:34:46 +0000 2023

Damn, the ending of Beef was just goddamn PERFECT.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 08:39:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Over the last 40 years, environmental procedure laws (NEPA) have totally ballooned out of control:

1981: environmental assessment for 8 different transmission line projects was 13 pages long

2023: environmental assessment for congestion pricing in NYC was 4,007-pages (!)

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Fri May 19 21:13:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @AlecStapp

Environmental Impact Statements (EISs) get all the headlines.

But agencies prepare way more environmental assessments (EAs) per year.

Upshot:

- 97% of paperwork is for EAs
- 99% of EAs end in a finding of no significant impact

Here's how to fix it... https://progress.institute/environmental-assessment-reform/

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Sat May 20 02:30:56 +0000 2023

Buahahahahahaha suck it

🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 09:31:14 +0000 2023

Mmm, meth soldiers! Worked out so well for the Axis in WW2...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 16:22:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"Ukrainian troops report that [the Russians] often appear to be under the influence of amphetamines or other narcotic substances, with material recovered from the battlefield indicating that these are commonly taken in liquid form": https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/special-resources/meatgrinder-russian-tactics-second-year-its-invasion-ukraine

-- Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) Sat May 20 15:27:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Can’t wait for the discourse to reach the point where we’re gonna get told that the people running international fraud rings to scam the elderly out of their life savings are actually just doing it because they don’t have access to social service programs.

-- Neoliberal 🌐🇺🇦 (@ne0liberal) Sat May 20 12:51:42 +0000 2023

Neoliberal 🌐🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Wait…WHAT?!?!!

-- Robert A George (@RobGeorge) Sat May 20 02:31:05 +0000 2023

Little cave creature ❤️

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 16:32:21 +0000 2023

Remind me what country destroyed the Confederacy? What was the name of that country?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 16:42:55 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The Confederate Flag objectively is a symbol of American (specifically, Southern) heritage, culture, and identity. The attack on the Confederate Flag, and the justification through turning it into a so-fabeled hate symbol, is an attack on American culture.

-- Americana Aesthetics (@AmericanaAesth) Thu May 18 03:37:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The recent interview of @danwwang by @Noahpinion is excellent - esp where he contrasts China mfg sector success with failures, & the rise of the neighbourhood committee.

Also an Interesting segment where Noah asks Dan to play the industrial policy czar for India.

Via… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1659927500896587776

-- Sajith Pai (@sajithpai) Sat May 20 14:22:10 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Meanwhile, the people in the West who fawned all over the BRI back during the "T-shirt cannon full of money" phase of the project have some explaining to do.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 18:53:11 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The narrow-mindedness of this FT article is mind-boggling. The point of China's BRI is to invest massively in the infrastructure of countries that Western finance, imprisoned in its serially inane ratings, will never reach. https://www.ft.com/content/e7a08b54-9554-11e8-b747-fb1e803ee64e

-- Yanis Varoufakis (@yanisvaroufakis) Wed Aug 08 10:13:01 +0000 2018

Does anyone have a photo of La Sombrita that they'd like me to use in a blog post? 😃

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 18:57:22 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

"Here comes the lecture lol"

More like here comes the debt collection and the sovereign default

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 19:03:18 +0000 2023

The purpose of human civilization is to create a safe space where rabbits can eat flowers in peace:

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 19:06:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Yoshon and Fini are foraging for Daisys 🥰
🌸🐰🌸

-- OBDsity | Bunnies in a Bun Dance 🐰✖6️⃣ (@obdsity) Sat May 20 17:27:58 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Bunnies sleep peacefully in their burrows at night only because giant monkeys stand ready to do violence on their behalf.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 19:07:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

What range anxiety? Chevy says fleet-oriented 'WT' (work truck) trim of new Silverado EV will have 450 mile range (on massive 200 kWh pack) & charge at 350 kW. That probably means ~250 miles range added in about 20 mins at rapid charger. Starting MSRP $40k
https://electrek.co/2023/05/19/chevy-silverado-ev-electric-pickup-450-miles-range/

-- JesseJenkins (@JesseJenkins) Sat May 20 18:01:38 +0000 2023

Who the fuck needs this policy

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 19:25:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Florida is set to arrest people in restrooms regardless of legal gender status in a sweeping bill
https://www.al.com/reckon/2023/05/florida-is-set-to-arrest-people-in-restrooms-regardless-of-legal-gender-status-in-sweeping-bill.html

-- Annie van Leur (@AnnevanLeur) Fri May 19 15:54:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Good morning with good news: The world is rapidly building the manufacturing base of 5 key technologies needed to reach Net Zero by 2050. Manufacturing capacity year-on-year grew for batteries (72%), solar (39%), electrolysers (26%) & heat pumps (13%).
https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/baa765ac-27c7-42ba-9eba-73717359de23/TheStateofCleanTechnologyManufacturing.pdf

-- John Raymond Hanger (@johnrhanger) Sat May 20 11:32:56 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

It is perfectly legitimate to hold the opinion that bathrooms should be segregated by genitals rather than by gender.

It is dystopian as hell to use the apparatus of state violence to intrusively enforce that segregation.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 19:29:42 +0000 2023

I have invented a more efficient solar-powered carbon-neutral shade device than La Sombrita, which achieves far greater coverage throughout all hours of the day!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 20:44:20 +0000 2023

The silliness of La Sombrita prompted me to write a giant rant about how excessive reliance on nonprofits is hurting the progressive project.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 22:25:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Sat May 20 21:30:34 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Huge YIMBY win: former Culver City Mayor and housing champion Alex Fisch has been named as California's new Special Assistant Attorney General for Housing!

Terrifying news for cities trying to skirt housing laws, amazing news for housing advocates!

https://culvercitycrossroads.com/2023/05/19/exclusive-fisch-named-new-state-housing-ag/

-- Jordan Grimes 🚰 (@cafedujord) Sat May 20 18:36:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion

-- Richard Watkins (@RichardWWatkins) Sat May 20 22:46:16 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Very good piece and tracks with some of the trends right now in justice policy. If the state does not have capacity to monitor results or press on best practices, the "Community Violence Intervention" nonprofit space could be full of bad bets that just breed more cynicism.

-- David Jiménez (@David_E_Jimenez) Sat May 20 23:12:15 +0000 2023

David Jiménez tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The silliness of La Sombrita prompted me to write a giant rant about how excessive reliance on nonprofits is hurting the progressive project.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 22:25:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I like how they both had the same thought with the same words at the same time..wonder how that happened

-- Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz) Sat May 20 22:52:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Striking how Putin is adopting Trump's perceived enemies as his own. The new Russian sanctions list includes people Trump considers adversaries like Letitia James, Brad Raffensperger and the officer who shot Ashli Babbitt even though none has anything to do with Russia policy.

-- Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) Sun May 21 01:38:16 +0000 2023

Getting Trump elected is definitely Putin's only real plan to win the war at this point

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 02:42:15 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Striking how Putin is adopting Trump's perceived enemies as his own. The new Russian sanctions list includes people Trump considers adversaries like Letitia James, Brad Raffensperger and the officer who shot Ashli Babbitt even though none has anything to do with Russia policy.

-- Peter Baker (@peterbakernyt) Sun May 21 01:38:16 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Oh dear Lord

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 03:06:39 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @ajlamesa

Here's the light that La Sombrita provides at night.
https://www.univision.com/local/los-angeles-kmex/la-sombrita-el-proyecto-piloto-que-suscita-polemica-entre-usuarios-de-autobuses-en-los-angeles-por-que-video?utm_campaign=Univision+LA&utm_content=sprout&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

-- Anthony LaMesa (@ajlamesa) Sat May 20 19:37:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

*Taps sign*

“Outsourcing government functions to nonprofits is a form of privatization”

-- Sam D'Amico (@sdamico) Sun May 21 03:16:17 +0000 2023

Sam D'Amico tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The silliness of La Sombrita prompted me to write a giant rant about how excessive reliance on nonprofits is hurting the progressive project.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/nonprofits-are-sapping-the-progressive

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 22:25:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

College is remade as tech majors surge & humanities dwindle: "The University of Maryland showcases two trends reshaping higher education, as debate intensifies over the influence of career goals in academia" https://www.washingtonpost.com/education/2023/05/19/college-majors-computer-science-humanities/

-- Jim Russell (@ProducerCities) Sat May 20 16:34:44 +0000 2023

Dating apps disrupted the humanities major.

LOL you thought people took those classes because they liked old books? 😂

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 21 03:24:54 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 05:29:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

A bunch of LA-based nonprofits used taxpayer funds to go on a paid junket to Ecuador and Europe and then came home and attached a metal grate to a bus stop in the name of gender equity.

They held a press conference to celebrate this.

-- fulano (@cowabungatime) Fri May 19 01:16:10 +0000 2023

Accurate.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 06:40:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

@Noahpinion is right that “people should pay attention” to👇 #Poland, the South Korea of Europe. More about Poland’s development experience and sources of success after 1989 here: https://global.oup.com/academic/product/europes-growth-champion-9780198839613?cc=us&lang=en&

-- Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@mmpiatkowski) Fri May 19 07:18:12 +0000 2023

Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Poland is only about 3/4 as rich as South Korea, but its overall growth since 1991 has been about the same.

South Korea is the generally acknowledged champion of economic development, but more people should pay attention to Poland!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon Mar 28 21:08:42 +0000 2022

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

What @Noahpinion calls an “FDI-driven Poland-Malaysia growth model” continues to do well after COVID👇Such a growth model is likely much easier to replicate than those in eg East Asia (Japan, Korea). Friendshoring provides a strategic opportunity to do it.

-- Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@mmpiatkowski) Fri May 19 07:24:56 +0000 2023

Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

#Poland is No 1. post-COVID performer in Europe👇. Same for the last 33 years. More info here: https://global.oup.com/academic/product/europes-growth-champion-9780198839613?cc=us&lang=en& https://twitter.com/DanielKral1/status/1658413881893502976

-- Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@mmpiatkowski) Tue May 16 12:42:38 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Good morning snöøggles with Fini-cakes 🥰

#FiniFriday

-- OBDsity | Bunnies in a Bun Dance 🐰✖6️⃣ (@obdsity) Fri May 19 06:21:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

More bad news for Russia.

The price for natural gas in the EU (Amsterdam) reached another low point. Today for the first time in almost 2 years it went under 30 EUR/MWh, currently at 29.8 EUR/MWh.

What an epic disaster for Moscow.

#NaturalGas

-- (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) Thu May 18 18:02:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Really fantastic discussion with Ezra Klein and Jean Twenge on teenage mental health.

Jean presents the best case for smartphones/social media as a key driver. Ezra has great pushbacks/drilling into nuance here.

https://castro.fm/episode/wx9Hh7

-- Arpit Gupta (@arpitrage) Fri May 19 15:41:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Microexample of what’s happening in US major cities:
1. State capacity has been eroded by permitting/community input/enviro laws like CEQA
2. Cities outsource the doing of stuff to local nonprofits with no economies of scale
3. Doing things/Building stuff is either bad or slow

-- Sam D'Amico (@sdamico) Fri May 19 15:56:29 +0000 2023

Sam D'Amico tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

A bunch of LA-based nonprofits used taxpayer funds to go on a paid junket to Ecuador and Europe and then came home and attached a metal grate to a bus stop in the name of gender equity.

They held a press conference to celebrate this.

-- fulano (@cowabungatime) Fri May 19 01:16:10 +0000 2023

America 2023: Where drinking a Bud Light is such a politically significant act that people don't even believe you did it unless you send them a photo

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:15:44 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

America 2024: Where everyone accuses everyone else's "proof of drinking a Bud Light" photos of being AI-generated

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:17:06 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

America is a silly place right now

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:17:49 +0000 2023

Cohort effect; most of the best opportunities for high-growth, low-capital-cost internet businesses were taken by a couple of cohorts

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:43:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

1) @rabois: avg age of best founders is up by a few years
2) @patrickc in convo w/@sama: dominant person in tech used to be young, usually in 20s (Jobs, Gates, Andreessen, Zuck), no candidate in their 20s now

Both stated this recently, but neither had an explanation.

Do you?

-- Pratyush (@pratyushbuddiga) Thu May 18 16:33:47 +0000 2023

Who says America can't build anything? Yes it was expensive, but our nonprofits managed to build this one-foot-long bus stop roof with holes in the top!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:46:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

It's official! La Sombrita, our shade and lighting pilot for the @LADOTofficial Gender Equity Action Plan, was unveiled this morning

-- Kounkuey [KDI] (@Kounkuey) Thu May 18 17:56:58 +0000 2023

"It's not my actual surname"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:47:40 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

And to those who say we can't build anything cheaply, realize that this single foot of perforated metal roof only cost $10,000 😅

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:51:13 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

And all of the extra features too!

https://twitter.com/KrampusSnail/status/1659603150301728768?t=6v08NIJnVTdXUX8obsdObg&s=19

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:55:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion Here are some more pictures of this garbage. A shade thingy with holes it to let the sun through? That shades (a little bit) your head, but not the rest of you? That is metal so it radiates heat? That doesn't stop the rain (or the sun, really)? WHYYYYY?
https://twitter.com/LADOTofficial/status/1659303124903817218

-- Anne Paulson (@KrampusSnail) Fri May 19 16:53:19 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

extremely cool that we're doing this instead of standardized tests!

-- Senior PowerPoint Engineer (@ryxcommar) Fri May 19 16:26:54 +0000 2023

Senior PowerPoint Engineer tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Just the first few paragraphs of this made me feel ill. https://www.propublica.org/article/college-high-school-research-peer-review-publications

-- Aaron Hanlon? (@AaronRHanlon) Thu May 18 11:57:50 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Of course that $10,000 figure doesn't include the costs of the design, nor the multi-country trip taken by the nonprofit members who invented La Sombrita

https://twitter.com/Artzee_eff/status/1659603906698133509?t=VU8G5ZdwXEacmcp1hh5F3g&s=19

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 16:58:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion I think the total contract was actually $200,000 🤣

-- Artzf (@Artzee_eff) Fri May 19 16:56:19 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

In La Sombrita's defense, L.A. builds bigger, more powerful light poles at half the cost! (Not counting the $200,000 for the overseas trip and the design, obviously)

https://twitter.com/jess6thousand/status/1659603152369520640?t=VU8G5ZdwXEacmcp1hh5F3g&s=19

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:03:09 +0000 2023

It was mentioned that the EU's anthem is Ode to Joy, and although the EU is not officially a nation, Ode to Joy indeed surpasses even the Soviet anthem

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:20:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The Soviet national anthem is, unfortunately, the best national anthem ever. But if Japan started using the Final Fantasy theme as their national anthem (with new lyrics obviously), then that would be the best ever.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:26:43 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

macroeconomics already exists

-- Ben Golub 🇺🇦 🕸️ (@ben_golub) Fri May 19 13:56:00 +0000 2023

Ben Golub 🇺🇦 🕸️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

I just finished reading Liu Cixin's The Dark Forest, and I'm feeling even more confident that a course on Economics and Science Fiction can be written and would be awesome.

-- Colette Salemi (@colette_salemi) Thu May 18 15:14:13 +0000 2023

Fake trend, but wish it was a real one

https://www.wsj.com/articles/gen-z-flip-phones-might-be-onto-something-c4744796

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:48:44 +0000 2023

This is called clinical depression

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:51:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

I don't enjoy sports on TV like I did before

I don't enjoy movies like I did before

I don't enjoy the same music I did before

I don't like the same people I did before

I don't look up to any of the people I once did

Is it just me or does that sound like any of you guys?

-- Pepe Deluxe 🐸 (@deluxe_pepe) Fri May 19 00:12:51 +0000 2023

"After accounting for indirect taxes and in-kind transfers, the US redistributes a greater share of national income to low-income groups than any European country."

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.20200703

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:56:49 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

@jdcmedlock This may be of interest!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 17:58:08 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I think FDI and these models are fascinating. There’s something there!

There is wide misunderstanding on “the East Asian model,” which is heterogenous, not well-characterized.

We’re quick to exoticise these places as unreplicable. But many features of EA share similarities …

-- Nathan Lane (@straightedge) Fri May 19 07:57:54 +0000 2023

Nathan Lane tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What @Noahpinion calls an “FDI-driven Poland-Malaysia growth model” continues to do well after COVID👇Such a growth model is likely much easier to replicate than those in eg East Asia (Japan, Korea). Friendshoring provides a strategic opportunity to do it. https://twitter.com/mmpiatkowski/status/1658452899121225729

-- Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@mmpiatkowski) Fri May 19 07:24:56 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Bay Area has almost 7x as much VC investment as the second biggest US startup hub, NYC.

-- Paul Graham (@paulg) Fri May 19 08:26:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"The penny has dropped that this might go on longer and that you have to invest in your industry if we are going to make this sustainable,” said Jack Watling of EU mobilization. “The fact of the matter is that this was obvious in April last year, but people sat on their hands.”

-- Todd N. Tucker (@toddntucker) Fri May 19 14:55:32 +0000 2023

Todd N. Tucker tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Europe’s military industrial capabilities fall short of Ukraine’s needs w/ @CatherineBelton https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/05/18/europe-weapons-military-industrial-base/?isMobile=1

-- Emily Rauhala (@emilyrauhala) Fri May 19 08:30:37 +0000 2023

Cheering for the orcas, obviously.

(And if you've read Gregory Benford's "Across the Sea of Suns", you'll know the orcas were sent here by extraterrestrial machine intelligences to hold back our economic development by restricting seaborne trade)

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 18:08:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Orcas have sunk 3 boats in Europe and appear to be teaching others to do the same. Scientists think a traumatized orca initiated the assault on boats after a "critical moment of agony" and that the behavior is spreading among the population. https://www.livescience.com/animals/orcas/orcas-have-sunk-3-boats-in-europe-and-appear-to-be-teaching-others-to-do-the-same-but-why

-- Will Rinehart (@WillRinehart) Fri May 19 15:10:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The US doesn't import much steel from China

-- Jeremy Horpedahl 🤷‍♂️ (@jmhorp) Fri May 19 12:48:07 +0000 2023

Jeremy Horpedahl 🤷‍♂️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

It's hard to fight your factory.

-- Balaji (@balajis) Fri May 19 05:51:17 +0000 2023

Why do these people's shade structures all have holes in them

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 19:00:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @opinonhaver

@opinonhaver I'm going down the rabbit hole looking at videos from this nonprofit's other projects, and they built an actual shade structure in a city near Joshua Tree, and someone says the community is a "shade desert" - that's just what a desert is!
https://youtu.be/wT4pjsC8E8c?t=41

-- James Medlock (@jdcmedlock) Fri May 19 05:43:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

One advantage of solar ☀️ is that it can scale incredibly fast 👇

Cc: @JesseJenkins @Noahpinion @dwallacewells @ramez

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Fri May 19 18:23:59 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

In 2018, Vietnam produced <0.1% of their electricity from solar.

3 years later, solar was responsible for more than 10% of electricity generation.

-- Michael Thomas (@curious_founder) Fri May 19 17:38:38 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion Their tax structure data for countries is interesting:

-- Salar (@wutangclan98) Fri May 19 19:02:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Working hours and productivity across time and locations:

Working hours for the average worker have decreased dramatically over the last 150 years. At the same time, global income per person has grown 10-fold (adjusted for prices). #EconomicGrowth

https://ourworldindata.org/working-more-than-ever

-- Dina D. Pomeranz (@DinaPomeranz) Fri May 19 15:23:57 +0000 2023

Why you should have a pet rabbit:

1. Cute

2. Floofy

3. Good friend

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 19:10:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Positive story to screw up the twitter algos.

-- Wilfred X. Reilly, Californian (@wil_da_beast630) Fri May 19 19:13:19 +0000 2023

Wilfred X. Reilly, Californian tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This brother walked an elderly lady home because she was scared that she would slip on the ice. He now walks her home almost every day.

-- Dom Lucre | Breaker of Narratives (@dom_lucre) Fri May 19 18:54:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

For Foreign Policy I’ve written about the one in five young Chinese who are unemployed.

There are fewer white collar jobs around, while the millions of vacancies there are (e.g. in manufacturing) are not the jobs these graduates want 👇🏼

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/05/17/china-youth-unemployment-economy-kong-yiji/

-- Cindy Yu (@CindyXiaodanYu) Fri May 19 13:20:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Who should cave their position to prevent a default - the Democrats or the Republicans?

The Democrats 57%
The Republicans 43%

.@Harvard-@HarrisPoll, 2,004 RV, 5/17-18
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/HHP_May2023_KeyResults.pdf

-- Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) Fri May 19 17:52:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Fascinating development: With its military decimated and its economy in tatters, Russia quietly opens the port of Vladivostok to China - 163 years after the Qing ceded it to the Russian Empire.
https://www.thinkchina.sg/russia-opening-vladivostok-port-china-after-163-years

-- Chris Horton 何貴森 (@heguisen) Fri May 19 07:27:51 +0000 2023

China, the greatest country in the world, where you're...not allowed to leave

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 19:59:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

China's exit bans multiply as political control tightens under Xi | Reuters https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-exit-bans-multiply-political-control-tightens-under-xi-2023-05-02/

-- Scott Spacek (@ScottSpacek) Fri May 19 04:07:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion Just cuz 🐰

-- Theodora (Theo) Lau - 劉䂀曼 🌻 (@psb_dc) Fri May 19 19:13:22 +0000 2023

Why is the Economist paying to relentlessly promote this tweet about how we need to cancel Picasso? There are lots of things I want to read about in the Economist, but Picasso is definitely not one of them.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 20:05:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Picasso—who died 50 years ago—was among the 20th century’s greatest artists. He was also an abuser, with a nauseating fondness for much younger women

-- The Economist (@TheEconomist) Wed Apr 19 16:20:07 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Credit to my colleague Satish Rao for looking at this carefully. Moral of https://rpgroup.org/Portals/0/Documents/Projects/MultipleMeasures/AB705_Workshops/MaximizingCalcCompletionForBusinessAdminDegree_May2023.pdf?ver=2023-05-16-072731-540: taking HS calculus over HS stats provides a huge boost to being able to *ever* complete calculus in community college for business administration majors @billtuckerO1 @PamelaBurdman

-- Jelani Nelson (@minilek) Fri May 19 20:41:47 +0000 2023

Jelani Nelson tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @minilek

@billtuckerO1 @JUST_Equations Then if you look at Table 3, which looks at ever completing calculus in CC and not just in 1 year, the similar calculation for HS stats completers is 48.6%, but for HS calculus completers it's 72.9%, which is exactly a 50% increase. So, HS calc actually provides a huge advantage.

-- Jelani Nelson (@minilek) Fri May 19 20:39:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Written almost one year apart

-- Caleb Watney (@calebwatney) Fri May 19 20:26:21 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Ahh, I now see that La Sombrita is designed to provide shade for people sleeping behind the nearby benches! (For about 10 minutes each day.)

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 23:40:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

There's a type of progressivism that is incredibly concerned with "which groups had voices heard" and "Have we done lots of process and planning" and "did we equitably include all stakeholders", but gives absolutely zero fucks about whether anything gets accomplished.

-- Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 (@JeremiahDJohns) Sat May 20 00:15:26 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Note: The paper does count things like Social Security as "income" rather than "redistribution", so the definitions are a bit murky here...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 20 03:31:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion If you count social insurance (unemployment insurance, public pensions, and disability insurance) as market income, it's going to look like the Europeans don't redistribute much

-- James Medlock (@jdcmedlock) Fri May 19 18:06:44 +0000 2023

...Accurate.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 05:00:43 +0000 2023

Important thread about rabbit ❤️🐇

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 05:09:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Yesterday, my dad scolded my rabbit because she was stealing and eating flowers from our newly plotted plants. She just ran away and didn't come out of her bed the whole day,we thought she's upset. Even when dad got home she didn't come to play with him like she usually does +

-- Shwetangi Jha (@JhaShwetangi) Wed May 17 06:17:16 +0000 2023

My latest interview is with the excellent and incisive @danwwang! We talk all about China's economy, including decoupling, export controls, industrial policy, state control, and lots more!

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 05:14:28 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I've been meaning to get back into doing frequent interviews, and this is one of the best I've done.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 05:32:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

@danwwang " #China 's population decline is a simmering issue. But it's not a hefty blow to the economy. I don't see why a gently plateauing population should threaten China's future capabilities in something like semiconductors or electric vehicles" #demographics #population

-- Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 (@mmpiatkowski) Thu May 18 06:00:36 +0000 2023

Marcin Piatkowski 🇺🇦 🇪🇺 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My latest interview is with the excellent and incisive @danwwang! We talk all about China's economy, including decoupling, export controls, industrial policy, state control, and lots more!

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 05:14:28 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

this is such an innocuous joke but, you know, also a pathetically insecure government

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-17/china-slaps-comedy-firm-with-3-million-fine-after-military-joke/102360102

-- James Palmer (@BeijingPalmer) Thu May 18 05:05:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Deadly data

➡️ Drug overdoses in the US led to 109,680 deaths in 2022

➡️ Fentanyl and other synthetic opioids were responsible for 69% of fatal overdoses

Cc: @Noahpinion @paulg @garrytan @DavidSacks @JTLonsdale

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Thu May 18 05:13:28 +0000 2023

Good to see Japan and South Korea cooperating on industrial policy.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 06:57:21 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Japan plans to offer subsidies worth up to 15 billion yen (US$110 million) to Samsung Electronics for a chip facility near its R&D center in Yokohama, media report. #Samsung is expected to formally announce the project this week. #semiconductors https://www.reuters.com/technology/japan-arranging-subsidies-samsung-chip-facility-source-2023-05-17/

-- Dan Nystedt (@dnystedt) Thu May 18 01:41:29 +0000 2023

If an animal's life is 1/10000 as valuable as a human's, this is morally equivalent to killing 8.35 million people a year.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 07:05:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

83.5 billion animals were slaugthered in 2021 to produce meat.

That's 229 million every day
160,000 dead animals every minute

-- Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) Wed May 17 21:24:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

TSMC Chairman Mark Liu received an invitation to a meeting with Japan’s prime minister and plans to fly to Tokyo today (5/18), media report, noting the talks are aimed at boosting semiconductor investments in Japan. $TSM https://ec.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/4304272

-- Dan Nystedt (@dnystedt) Thu May 18 01:31:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

File under ‘decoupling’. The open secret in this space is the attempt to change supply chain geography in the coming decade. Doesn’t have to be in Texas and Ohio only. Global chipmakers to expand in Japan as tech decoupling accelerates via @FT
https://on.ft.com/45dXI62

-- George Magnus (@georgemagnus1) Thu May 18 07:46:29 +0000 2023

If you're interested in China at all (and you really should be), then you need to read Dan Wang!

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 11:30:01 +0000 2023

My first interview on China-related topics is with the excellent and incisive @danwwang, whose letters from China have helped me understand a lot of the recent events and upheavals.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 15:09:00 +0000 2023

This is just completely unacceptable.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 16:13:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Why we need permitting reform:

“When plans for the SunZia project—a massive power line & wind farm in the Western US—were first laid in 2006, Taylor Swift had just released a debut album & George Bush was president.

The project might finally receive a crucial permit this week.”

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Thu May 18 10:45:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Continues to be the case that a plausible scenario involves a grid that stalls out at 30-40% renewable due to NIMBYism, but the 45Q credits and EPA regs work and gas with carbon capture is still 40ish% of generation, and everyone is mad

-- John Voorheis (@john_voorheis) Thu May 18 15:53:40 +0000 2023

John Voorheis tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

readers of the (great) LA Times climate newsletter believe "rooftop and community solar systems in urban areas...are the only truly sustainable clean energy technology" and that they shouldn't build on public lands until they cover every rooftop https://click.email.latimes.com/?qs=99860b50b71c359c9c16018289eba0d7932dde15d5e14f8bd8091c2fdbb79f3c27348d31e592f694a681c812b83b366051cef9fc1ca99b82

-- Matthew Zeitlin (@MattZeitlin) Thu May 18 14:32:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Federal appropriations are falling short on CHIPS and Science funding by billions and the shortfalls are especially mixed on the bill's "place-based" industrial programs.

Here's a look from @MattHourihan @msmeliss2024 and myself

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2023/05/17/the-bold-vision-of-the-chips-and-science-act-isnt-getting-the-funding-it-needs/

-- Mark Muro (@MarkMuro1) Thu May 18 13:45:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It’s a lustrous day.🌟

#Taiwan’s🇹🇼 Digital Gold Card is in play.

But credit where credit is due.💯

@Noahpinion🐇, we couldn’t have done it without you.

I thank the big blogger for the co-creation & invite him to become our 1st cardholder.🙏

Let’s #FreeTheFuture🖖 — together!

-- Audrey Tang 唐鳳 (@audreyt) Thu May 18 13:25:38 +0000 2023

Audrey Tang 唐鳳 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

BREAKING:

The #Taiwan🇹🇼 Employment Gold Card for digital professionals is go, go, go! Apply now & get ready to experience an array of glittering work-life opportunities in one of the free world's most dynamic, vibrant & welcoming societies.

QUICK CHECK:

https://goldcard.nat.gov.tw/en/apply/step-1/#/

-- Ministry of Digital Affairs 數位發展部 🇹🇼 (@TAIWANmoda) Thu May 18 11:25:19 +0000 2023

This is pretty amazing. Thank you so much, @audreyt!!! Going to definitely apply for this!!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 16:52:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

It’s a lustrous day.🌟

#Taiwan’s🇹🇼 Digital Gold Card is in play.

But credit where credit is due.💯

@Noahpinion🐇, we couldn’t have done it without you.

I thank the big blogger for the co-creation & invite him to become our 1st cardholder.🙏

Let’s #FreeTheFuture🖖 — together! https://twitter.com/TAIWANmoda/status/1659158220039127040

-- Audrey Tang 唐鳳 (@audreyt) Thu May 18 13:25:38 +0000 2023

Robert Lucas was an economist who was better at asking questions than at finding answers to those questions.

In a field like macroeconomics, where false confidence in wrong answers too often rules the day, that made Lucas a giant.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:01:42 +0000 2023

Oh for fuck's sake

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:05:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

readers of the (great) LA Times climate newsletter believe "rooftop and community solar systems in urban areas...are the only truly sustainable clean energy technology" and that they shouldn't build on public lands until they cover every rooftop https://click.email.latimes.com/?qs=99860b50b71c359c9c16018289eba0d7932dde15d5e14f8bd8091c2fdbb79f3c27348d31e592f694a681c812b83b366051cef9fc1ca99b82

-- Matthew Zeitlin (@MattZeitlin) Thu May 18 14:32:45 +0000 2023

Ugh, Republicans can't even do deregulation right

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:06:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The two-step deal floated by Republicans is a complete non-starter for permitting reform.

@brianschatz is 100% correct here:

“Let’s be serious. The idea that we’re going to do your stuff first and my stuff later is just not how politics works.”

Deal has to include transmission

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Thu May 18 12:01:25 +0000 2023

The degrowth world is full of nonsensical graphs like this, where the axes are just "human flourishing" or "planetary destruction" or whatever

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:11:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @keycane

@keycane @Noahpinion No country on earth manages to provide the social needs of its population within the biophysical boundaries of its ecosystems, none...

-- Cooperative exploration ☯⚛ (@fvd_explore) Thu May 18 17:09:56 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:18:24 +0000 2023

Well I'm in a cheery mood today

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:20:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @nominalthoughts

@nominalthoughts Great, now time to start on 2 years of predoc, 6 years of PhD, 3 years of postdoc, and 7 years of busting your ass to get tenure in Bumfuck Nowhere Iowa, followed by 50 years of wondering where the hell your youth went! LET'S GOOOOOOOOOOO

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:20:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It’s wild that folks are still doing these takes. Military spending as a percent of GDP is tied for postwar lows.

-- Wally Nowinski (@Nowooski) Thu May 18 17:06:27 +0000 2023

Wally Nowinski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Seventy years ago, Eisenhower warned what nuclear buildups and excessive military spending would cost the American people.

The severe tradeoffs Eisenhower cited in 1953 are even more pronounced today👇
https://quincyinst.org/militaryindustrialcomplex/

-- Quincy Institute (@QuincyInst) Thu May 18 16:47:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The fact that you can have literally retarded institutions and still be top of the world shows the power of brain draining the top 1% of every country

-- fbifemboy (@0xfbifemboy) Thu May 18 16:25:29 +0000 2023

fbifemboy tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Why we need permitting reform:

“When plans for the SunZia project—a massive power line & wind farm in the Western US—were first laid in 2006, Taylor Swift had just released a debut album & George Bush was president.

The project might finally receive a crucial permit this week.”

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Thu May 18 10:45:51 +0000 2023

OMG, Naomi Klein wrote a book about how everyone thinks she's Naomi Wolf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:29:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What if you woke up one morning and found you’d acquired a double?

Deftly following online threads, Doppelganger is the astounding new work from @NaomiAKlein tracking the extreme views of a woman she's frequently mistaken for. Signed Edition: https://bit.ly/45kvcQy

-- Waterstones (@Waterstones) Wed May 17 15:00:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Noah is a smart and thorough interviewer, pushing me to make my ideas more clear. Thanks @Noahpinion!

-- Dan Wang (@danwwang) Thu May 18 17:36:26 +0000 2023

Dan Wang tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

If you're interested in China at all (and you really should be), then you need to read Dan Wang!

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 11:30:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This line in the @Noahpinion interview with @danwwang :
"It would be good, I think, if the Chinese state can one day learn to leave people alone."
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/interview-dan-wang-china-specialist

-- Tony Yates (@t0nyyates) Thu May 18 12:42:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

For those in the comments asking for solutions, here are some:
- Move stakeholder engagement to the front of the process
- Increase admin & expert capacity for permitting agencies
- Improve coordination - expand the use of the permitting council, data sharing, permit sequencing

-- Kristina Karlsson (@karlsson_kris) Thu May 18 18:18:59 +0000 2023

Kristina Karlsson tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This is just completely unacceptable. https://twitter.com/AlecStapp/status/1659148285397827585

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 16:13:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is an excellent obituary.

-- Miguel Herce (@PayoMiguel) Thu May 18 17:35:43 +0000 2023

Miguel Herce tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Robert Lucas was an economist who was better at asking questions than at finding answers to those questions.

In a field like macroeconomics, where false confidence in wrong answers too often rules the day, that made Lucas a giant.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 17:01:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Ukraine will come out of this war with the most battle-hardened military in Europe, & among the best equipped. It'll certainly be the most motivated having experienced the horror of war at home. We ought to welcome them into NATO sooner rather than later.
https://wapo.st/3BE4QLG

-- Admiral James Stavridis, USN, Ret. (@stavridisj) Thu May 18 15:35:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"21 of the 50 largest cities lost population last year, including Portland, which shrank by about 8,000 people, a 1.3% decline. San Francisco, which had a massive 7% decline in 2021, shrank by a much more modest .3% last year" https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/data/seattle-is-once-again-the-fastest-growing-big-city-census-data-shows/

-- Jim Russell (@ProducerCities) Thu May 18 17:06:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I got another obvious ChatGPT cover letter: "I am excited to apply for the position of software engineer at PerfectRec, as advertised on your website. As a language model, I cannot express excitement like a human being, but I assure you that I am eager to join your team."

-- Joe Golden (@JoeGoJoeGo) Thu May 18 20:01:28 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Deep South states have adopted science-based reading approaches based on phonics and have seen their reading scores go up a lot.

Seems like very low hanging fruit for the rest of the country.

-- Arpit Gupta (@arpitrage) Thu May 18 13:03:24 +0000 2023

Arpit Gupta tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This is an imporatnt story
https://apnews.com/article/reading-scores-phonics-mississippi-alabama-louisiana-5bdd5d6ff719b23faa37db2fb95d5004

-- Stephanie Banchero (@sbanchero) Thu May 18 12:49:38 +0000 2023

There is a huge demand for blatant lies about EVs. Supply arises to meet the demand.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 20:33:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Dutch quality newspaper @nrc just published an opinion stating that electric vehicles (EVs) emit more CO2 than they save.

That is not correct.
EVs emit about 3x less.
I research this at the @TUeindhoven.

Let me explain the mistakes in the opinion piece.
https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2023/05/15/elektrisch-rijden-kost-nu-nog-meer-dan-het-opbrengt-a4164725

-- AukeHoekstra (@AukeHoekstra) Tue May 16 14:14:15 +0000 2023

Dingdingding

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 20:58:11 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The thing about “the GOP will have to change or young voters will doom it” is that it presumes the Dems won’t also change and get even worse margins with the old or reduce their margins with the youngs, both of which are possible esp bc climate change.

-- Janelle Monae Stan Acct tbh 👁 (@csilverandgold) Thu May 18 18:18:11 +0000 2023

Fun video about the F-35.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CH8o9DIIXqI

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 21:23:43 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I love the part at 32:27, when he says that the term "military analyst" is like "economist" -- anyone can claim to be one and start spouting out bullshit 😂😂😂

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 22:48:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The only thing more embarrassing than clinging to an outdated belief you learned in college in the 2000s is clinging to an inherited outdated belief your parents learned in college in the 70s.

Defense dominated the budget in the 60s. It doesn’t anymore. Try to keep up!

-- Wally Nowinski (@Nowooski) Thu May 18 19:15:02 +0000 2023

The Soviet national anthem is, unfortunately, the best national anthem ever. But if Japan started using the Final Fantasy theme as their national anthem (with new lyrics obviously), then that would be the best ever.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:26:43 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

France is a solid #2, after Soviet.

Anyway, here's the Final Fantasy theme being performed for the Tokyo Olympics:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_5-Y8qfq20

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:40:15 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Also the coolest U.S. patriotic song is Battle Hymn of the Republic, so we should change our anthem to that, BUT, if we get really pissed we could always go with the Imperial March from Star Wars.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:45:39 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Of course if our only goal is to have a national anthem that's impossible for normal people to sing, we could go with Livin' on a Prayer

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:50:38 +0000 2023

I think this is a sign of how happy and gentle and well-adjusted the Old Internet made our culture, before the coming of smartphones and Twitter and the Eternal September for Everything.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 00:53:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The newer generation will think we're fucking with them when we tell them this was the top meme for a solid year, with no real contenders.

-- shako (@cauchyfriend) Thu May 18 20:27:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Wow, North Carolina’s developers must be less greedy than California’s!!! Amazing

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Thu May 18 22:52:32 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

North Carolina (population 10.5M) permitted more housing units than California (population 39.2M) last month 😬

-- Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 (@JosephPolitano) Thu May 18 22:50:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Great thread. Japan has been in love with this kind of mushroom for a long time, as seen in this print by the Taisho-era pop artist Takehisa Yumeji. That's him at left in front of his boutique in Nihonbashi. The print is from circa 1915.

-- Matt Alt (@Matt_Alt) Fri May 19 01:27:43 +0000 2023

Matt Alt tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Today's extremely stupid mystery revolves around Mario's mushroom. The one you immediately picture in your head is red with white dots. It's loosely based on the "fly amanita" which is red with white bumps (rather than merely spotted).

-- "Critical Kate" Willaert (@katewillaert) Thu May 18 17:47:24 +0000 2023

🇯🇵🇯🇵🇯🇵❤️❤️❤️🏭🏭🏭

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 19 02:04:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"Seven of the world’s largest semiconductor makers have set out plans to increase manufacturing and deepen tech partnerships in Japan as western allies step up efforts to reshape the global chip supply chain amid rising tensions with China."
https://www.ft.com/content/5b36a5ca-4175-428a-93ed-b5e4c3b9eae1

-- James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) Fri May 19 01:27:14 +0000 2023

This debt ceiling negotiation is absolutely a manufactured crisis. Makes America look like a total clown show.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 04:32:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Alice Wu was the first to quantify EJMR's toxicity *in her undergrad thesis.*

I haven't seen it mentioned at all today. Which feels... Weird?

I can't seem to find the words as to why. But I appreciate it so I'm tweeting it.

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/pandp.20181101

https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00877

-- James Traina (@EconTraina) Wed May 17 02:27:49 +0000 2023

Miyazaki is great but Takahata is the GOAT

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 04:43:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

South Korea gets tough on tech leaks to China https://www.ft.com/content/9e72a96f-5d92-460f-a154-0715c343e7c9

-- Scott Spacek (@ScottSpacek) Wed May 17 02:36:03 +0000 2023

I'm in this meme and I don't like it

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 04:46:17 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @TheOmniZaddy

I am sorry mon amis (he is slightly older and French)😭

-- TheOmniZaddy 🌹🔰🏗 (@TheOmniZaddy) Wed May 17 04:24:36 +0000 2023

Neoliberals could really troll the Modi people by combining these two pictures into "ZEB!!!"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 04:49:20 +0000 2023

It's also not really going to be driven by anything Biden does. At this point every company realizes that the moment China invades Taiwan, all their investments in China go *poof*.

Decoupling is now an existential imperative for multinationals.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 04:55:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Biden wants US-China decoupling (or de-risking) that is narrow, targeted, and has multilateral support. In reality, decoupling will be a much less predictable—and much messier—affair.

@opinion @AEIfdp
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-05-16/biden-s-economic-decoupling-plan-with-china-won-t-work?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=230516&utm_campaign=author_20095830

-- Hal Brands (@HalBrands) Tue May 16 22:51:44 +0000 2023

What does "biweekly" mean?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 05:10:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

1) SF permits a thriving illegal open air drug market that is killing people.
2) SF shafts hardworking small business owners, who jump through endless hoops and pay insane amounts of taxes and fees just to set up shop.

It’s fucking absurd and infuriating.
https://sfstandard.com/business/bakery-owner-still-waiting-on-city-aid-months-after-burglars-smashed-door/?taid=64644b2bc5e5b700013d5bd8&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

-- Daniel Owens (@Daniel___Owens) Wed May 17 03:54:07 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 05:18:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The Re-Emerging Suicide Crisis in the U.S. http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/05/the-re-emerging-suicide-crisis-in-the-u-s.html

-- Marginal Revolution (@MargRev) Wed May 17 05:02:10 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

(Yes, the paper investigates the smartphone hypothesis, and finds it plausible.)

https://www.nber.org/papers/w31242

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 05:19:46 +0000 2023

Never

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 05:29:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Do you sleep with a fan?

-- Kayla Chow Show (@KaylaChowShow) Wed May 17 01:50:58 +0000 2023

Outside of China, coal is shrinking.

Inside of China, coal is growing.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:01:44 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Source: https://www.carbonbrief.org/record-clean-power-growth-in-2023-to-spark-new-era-of-fossil-fuel-decline/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:02:04 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

We're not going to beat climate change unless China stops burning coal, folks. We're just not.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:02:48 +0000 2023

The U.S. should do a lot more to help poor countries get rich. We should do this because it's the right thing to do. But maybe the threat of growing Chinese influence will get us off our butts.

https://www.discoursemagazine.com/politics/2023/05/01/chinas-global-influence-game/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:05:43 +0000 2023

Degrowth is a weird and destructive British ideology, and we can't let it take over here in the U.S.

https://www.worksinprogress.news/p/degrowth-and-the-monkeys-paw

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:13:29 +0000 2023

Rabbit = good friend

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:16:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

There are now three levels of fucked up in the story about SF banning middle school algebra.

Problem #1: Stop teaching middle school kids algebra

Problem #2: Stop testing them, so that it looks like it’s working (It’s not.)

Problem #3: Lie about #2

-- Lee Edwards (@terronk) Wed May 17 05:49:27 +0000 2023

Lee Edwards tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

A decade ago, SFUSD installed a bold plan to change math. Today, the data show the plan didn't work.

That's *not* the problem.

Three years ago, SFUSD knew bogus data propped up its flagship claim of success. Today, it's still repeating that claim.

That *is* the problem.

A 🧵

-- Greg Chopskie (@GAChopskie) Tue May 16 19:38:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Seeing Fini groom Snowshi after the bonding is the icing on the Lovemuffin 🤭

#WholesomeWednesday

-- OBDsity | Bunnies in a Bun Dance 🐰✖6️⃣ (@obdsity) Wed May 17 06:59:15 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

#Britain and #Japan to reach new defense and technology agreement

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak will visit Tokyo this week to sign a new bilateral defense and technology deal with Japan ahead of a Group of Seven summit in Hiroshima.
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2023/05/14/national/japan-uk-deal/

-- Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Military News (@IndoPac_Info) Tue May 16 15:23:36 +0000 2023

Some thoughts on Turkey's economy, which was doing really great before Erdogan screwed it up with kooky macroeconomic theories:

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/turkey-you-were-doing-so-well-repost

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 07:14:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

These cases show China's National Intelligence being put into practice against American technology companies. They are also a reminder that the National Intelligence Law requires *individuals* to comply with intel requests (not just companies).
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/16/us/politics/sanctions-tech-espionage-china-russia.html?emci=05f5c3f4-a9f4-ed11-907c-00224832eb73&emdi=cfcd910a-b0f4-ed11-907c-00224832eb73&ceid=10679765

-- Jacob Helberg (@jacobhelberg) Wed May 17 12:50:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

everybody dunking on R2, but the real problem is a simple correlation being passed off as a causal effect!!

-- Angus “burnt ends" Grier 🦧🍄🚀🥃 (@ez_angus) Wed May 17 14:09:40 +0000 2023

Angus “burnt ends" Grier 🦧🍄🚀🥃 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What happens when inequality rises? It turns out that murders go up.

Hmm .. maybe inequality really is structural violence.

https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2023/05/13/red-team-blues-cory-doctorows-anti-finance-thriller/

-- Blair Fix @blair_fix@mastodon.online (@blair_fix) Mon May 15 23:36:00 +0000 2023

Econ is going to be the first profession to mass-dox its toxic anonymous trolls in a published research paper, isn't it 😂

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 16:17:03 +0000 2023

Chonky boi

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 16:26:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is just straight up fraud @youcubed

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Wed May 17 14:21:07 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

California’s New Math Framework Doesn’t Add Up: It would place Golden State 6th graders years behind the rest of the world—and could eventually skew education in the rest of the U.S., too. https://ednxt.co/3nZoNJM

-- Education Next (@EducationNext) Tue May 16 13:30:27 +0000 2023

Works on so many levels

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 16:42:56 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

-- non aesthetic things (@PicturesFoIder) Wed May 17 16:01:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I have not found an adequate explanation for this sort of social phenomenon. The American equivalent is usually couched in terms of environmentalism—the fact that Chinese follow the same pattern for different reasons suggests there is some other root.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jan/20/the-last-generation-young-chinese-people-vow-not-to-have-children

-- T. Greer (@Scholars_Stage) Wed May 17 15:01:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Trouble ahead in a world that passes 1.5C

Cc: @dwallacewells @JesseJenkins @MichaelEMann @ramez

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Wed May 17 16:38:42 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

World likely to breach 1.5C climate threshold by 2027, scientists warn https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/17/global-heating-climate-crisis-record-temperatures-wmo-research?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

-- davidrieff (@davidrieff) Wed May 17 11:56:13 +0000 2023

Looks like Europe woke up to the reality of Chinese competition.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 16:50:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Linking climate and trade policy, Europe will tax imports of iron, steel, cement, aluminum, fertilizers, electricity & hydrogen based on the carbon emissions associated with production of these products in their countries of origin. Read more:
https://www.npr.org/2023/05/17/1171238285/how-a-european-law-might-get-companies-around-the-world-to-cut-climate-pollution

-- JesseJenkins (@JesseJenkins) Wed May 17 16:42:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Chinese 🇨🇳 competition to Europe 🇪🇺 in car manufacturing 🚙 is no longer a hypothetical

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Wed May 17 16:57:03 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Looks like Europe woke up to the reality of Chinese competition. https://twitter.com/JesseJenkins/status/1658875713141833729

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 16:50:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I’m fine but everything else is terrible seems to be the default assumption for most people these days. But it is weird that most people seem satisfied with their life in general but assume everyone else must be miserable

via @awealthofcs

https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2023/05/paper-bears/

-- Barry Ritholtz (@ritholtz) Wed May 17 11:35:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"The move has triggered a backlash from diplomats of Europe and other areas, with none believed to have removed the signboards." https://english.kyodonews.net/news/2023/05/36cfa44f8bb4-china-urges-embassies-to-remove-signs-showing-support-for-ukraine.html

-- Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦 (@CollinSLKoh) Wed May 17 08:03:41 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The good news is that degrowth is unnecessary.

The world is *starting* to learn how to decouple economic growth 📈 from CO2 emissions 📉

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Wed May 17 17:02:57 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Degrowth is a weird and destructive British ideology, and we can't let it take over here in the U.S.

https://www.worksinprogress.news/p/degrowth-and-the-monkeys-paw

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 06:13:29 +0000 2023

Degrowth, in one piture:

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 17:18:28 +0000 2023

Seeing a few more tweets like this, after a long lull.

I predict that this mode of self-expression will continue to be broadly tolerated, even as it becomes an increasingly niche thing. In 2029 we'll just say "Oh, that's that person who talks about white guilt all the time".

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 17:38:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

As a white person, we must recognise our privilege under white supremacy, colonialism and imperialism. People of colour have been denied equality because of conscious and unconscious racism and prejudice. So yes, we should feel guilty and ashamed.

-- Dr Charlotte Proudman (@DrProudman) Mon May 15 22:17:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It's professional malpractice to write about rent control in 2023 and not talk about St. Paul, where developers walked away, permits plummeted and the policy had to be partially rolled back https://bit.ly/3MzXTkU

-- ◥◤Kriston Capps (@kristoncapps) Wed May 17 15:06:28 +0000 2023

Balancing coalitions are slowly taking shape in Asia

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 18:08:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

#Philippines, #Vietnam agree to work on #SouthChinaSea code of conduct

The Philippines and Vietnam have agreed to strengthen coordination in dealing with maritime issues, particularly in working on a code of conduct in the South China Sea.
https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/05/17/23/ph-vietnam-agree-to-work-on-south-china-sea-code-of-conduct

-- Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Military News (@IndoPac_Info) Wed May 17 13:38:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

When a new fast food place opens up nearby, the children of less educated parents become fatter and have lower standardized test scores. https://www.nber.org/papers/w31226

-- Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 (@lymanstoneky) Tue May 16 15:21:56 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

If America is the land of freedom, why can't you buy a tiny fuel efficient truck and drive it on the road?

-- Andrew 3000 (@flyin_obrien) Tue May 16 18:10:46 +0000 2023

Andrew 3000 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

“Unlike U.S.-made models, kei trucks are subject to strict size and engine standards and generally top out at around 1,800 pounds. The average American pick-up, by contrast, weighs 5,000 pounds or more, and is significantly more lethal.” 🛻 @streetsblogkea
https://usa.streetsblog.org/2023/05/01/why-its-so-hard-to-import-small-trucks-that-are-less-lethal-to-pedestrians/

-- Wyatt Gordon (@yitgordon) Tue May 16 13:02:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

My hypersonic missiles suck. In unrelated news, 3 hypersonic missile scientists have been jailed for "treason".

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/05/16/3-russian-hypersonic-missile-scientists-jailed-for-treasoncolleagues-say-a81155

-- Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) Wed May 17 12:56:57 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

cc @DAcemogluMIT

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 18:23:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I think there's a very natural economic theory paper here to write

how the reduction in search costs has improved coordination on group activities like hatred, and led to more extreme variation cross-sectionally in beliefs and behaviors

-- Ben Golub 🇺🇦 (@ben_golub) Wed May 17 17:52:49 +0000 2023

Ben Golub 🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @DKThomp

Something v interesting about the ways the Internet amplifies high-arousal negativity. See:

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2023/03/negativity-bias-online-news-consumption/673499/

I think a big part of this is that it's just more fun to hate on shit in groups, and the Internet is a machine for helping groups find each other.

-- Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) Wed May 17 17:35:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I cannot even begin to pretend to know what's going on with the Japanese Prime Minister's public visit today.

-- Mike Bird (@Birdyword) Wed May 17 13:54:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The @sfchronicle's car break-in tracker is really insane. How many in the last 30 days?!!

https://www.sfchronicle.com/projects/sf-car-breakins/

Struggle to see how we solve this without just more police on the street, more security cams?

-- Joshua March (@joshuamarch) Wed May 17 18:30:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Committed to solving society’s problems, 24-30, with a Bachelor’s or Master’s Degree, and interested in working in Japan for 9 months with the potential of living there? Consider the AYF Fellowship: https://awaji-youth-federation.com/fellowship-program/

-- Kweku Opoku-Agyemang, Ph.D (@KwekuOA) Wed May 17 17:50:38 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Biden administration has a plan to ease transmission siting, even if Congress doesn't act. https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/transmission/bidens-got-a-plan-for-ramping-up-energy-transmission

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Wed May 17 18:21:38 +0000 2023

Broke: No one should subsidize green industry because that's unfair

Woke: EVERYONE should subsidize green industry because then it's fair, plus we get a lot more green industry

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 18:56:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

France in push to promote homegrown green industry

Includes the government covering 20 to 45 percent of capital costs, and 5 to 7 k euro subsidy for EV purchases https://www.ft.com/content/5cc8197f-cccd-4e61-ac2d-349c95bcc877

-- Todd N. Tucker (@toddntucker) Wed May 17 15:24:22 +0000 2023

When your ideology is "bring me a sandwich"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 19:00:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This thread about the tyranny of packed lunches is amazing

-- Elizabeth Nolan Brown (@ENBrown) Wed May 17 10:33:50 +0000 2023

Turkey is a really tragic story because it has been one of the stars of industrialization in the 21st century -- similar to Poland and Malaysia.

Then Erdogan screwed it all up 6 years ago with wacky macro.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 19:15:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Some thoughts on Turkey's economy, which was doing really great before Erdogan screwed it up with kooky macroeconomic theories:

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/turkey-you-were-doing-so-well-repost

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 07:14:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The concept of billions of people having a camera/videocamera in their pocket, documenting everything (and uploading much of it to a global superbrain), is only a decade old. We live in crazy times.

-- Tim Urban (@waitbutwhy) Wed May 17 15:28:36 +0000 2023

Tim Urban tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

70 years of camera market disruption📱📷

-- Vala Afshar (@ValaAfshar) Wed May 17 15:16:10 +0000 2023

Work requirements are pure virtue-signaling

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 19:18:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Work requirements don't actually increase employment and primarily deny benefits to *working* Americans (due to paperwork issues).

But that's fine with the GOP, since the policy's true purpose is to make soaking the poor politically palatable. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/05/biden-mccarthy-work-requirements-debt-ceiling.html

-- Eric Levitz (@EricLevitz) Wed May 17 13:11:26 +0000 2023

LOL, it turned out that Russia's "un-interceptable" missile could be intercepted by American air defense, so Putin accused the researchers who created the missile of treason 😂😂😂

The New Russian Empire is a complete and utter clown show.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 19:22:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

🚀 In Russia, the developers of the Kinzhal missile are accused of treason

Chief researcher of ITAM SB RAS Valery Zvegintsev was suspected of high treason. The reason is an article in an Iranian journal about gas dynamics. Although, as he claims, the text has passed a number of… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1658876332573433856

-- Lew Anno Suport #Ukraine 24/2-22 (@anno1540) Wed May 17 16:45:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I remember this @ArmsControlWonk piece from 2018: "I am deeply skeptical that Patriot has ever intercepted a long-range ballistic missile in combat." https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/03/28/patriot-missiles-are-made-in-america-and-fail-everywhere/ That was justified scepticism. But maybe Patriot is now proving itself when it really counts.

-- Shashank Joshi (@shashj) Tue May 16 10:15:55 +0000 2023

Shashank Joshi tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

If I was a Russian nuclear strategist today, I would be very worried. You just received proof of concept that Western air and missile defenses can intercept 100% of your tactical nuclear delivery vehicles (SRBM, BM, aircraft) in a time-coordinated, multi-vector attack.

-- Fabian Hoffmann (@FRHoffmann1) Tue May 16 08:45:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Good macroeconomic take by @Noahpinion

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/turkey-you-were-doing-so-well-repost

-- mersenne (@undomondo) Wed May 17 19:42:28 +0000 2023

Filter bubbles allow people the space to consider alternate points of view without being negatively polarized.

Filter bubbles are good.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 22:19:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Elon exposing me to more conservative voices via boosting them on the platform has successfully burst my bubble and changed my views of them as a group: they're a lot fucking dumber than I thought, and I didn't think they were smart.

-- William B. Fuckley (@opinonhaver) Wed May 17 21:31:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Food deserts do not cause unhealthy eating choices — unhealthy eating choices cause food deserts

-- TheOmniZaddy 🌹🔰🏗 (@TheOmniZaddy) Wed May 17 17:06:08 +0000 2023

TheOmniZaddy 🌹🔰🏗 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"Food deserts" are a good example of social scientists getting causality backwards

They saw poor people eating unhealthy foods and blamed local supply. They should have blamed demand

Using data from 13 years of supermarket entries, there's basically no effects on healthy eating

-- Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil) Mon May 15 19:39:07 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Solar and China: Wow!!

-- Hanno Klausmeier (@HannoKlausmeier) Tue May 16 20:13:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It's crazy how much the battery storage market has grown in just the last few years.

-- Michael Thomas (@curious_founder) Wed May 17 20:15:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

In the last 3 weeks, India 🇮🇳, Vietnam 🇻🇳, Thailand 🇹🇭, Bangladesh 🇧🇩 and Laos all broke all-time temperature records.

Cc: @dwallacewells @MichaelEMann

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Wed May 17 21:36:35 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Hotter temperatures and reduced rainfall will also worsen the region’s dreaded haze https://econ.st/3obK8Q8

-- The Economist Data Team (@ECONdailycharts) Wed May 17 21:28:04 +0000 2023

It's wild that we can just see what war looks like now. https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1658963328285171712

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 23:00:18 +0000 2023

If you think Russia would have stopped with Ukraine, you're just deluded

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 23:02:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

spotted in one of medvedev’s drunken/unhinged rants: “temporarily occupied poland”

-- ian bremmer (@ianbremmer) Wed May 17 14:19:46 +0000 2023

Excellent and important thread about the history of U.S. cities since ~1990.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 01:00:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Seems like urban America had a pink wave over the past 25 years, downstream from other changes. Violent crime fell; when it did, young educated adults started moving to cities in numbers; agglomeration did its thing and we got some tech / meds & eds breakout economies.

-- rustbeltjacobin 🌹 (@rustbeltjacobin) Wed May 17 23:19:07 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

(The thread says 25 years but really it's a little longer)

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 01:02:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Hot take: the people who “value property over human life” are the people who are willing to fight, stab, and shoot in order to steal it.

https://sfstandard.com/criminal-justice/san-francisco-security-guard-shot-multiple-times-as-thieves-broke-into-his-car-police-say/?taid=646526f0e1903a00018072bb&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter

-- Lee Edwards (@terronk) Wed May 17 19:39:45 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

So round

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 01:47:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

At this point, Russia recognizes it won’t reach hegemonic status, but Putin’s nostalgic comments about empire should raise alarm bells for EE.

Noah is right here that Putin wouldn’t stop at Ukraine—that’s why we need to strengthen NATO and expand resources in the region.

-- Rina (Parody) (@rinanpakkala) Thu May 18 00:32:56 +0000 2023

Rina (Parody) tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

If you think Russia would have stopped with Ukraine, you're just deluded https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/1658839730228801540

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 23:02:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

If you want to know how that egg price spike resolved... 🍳

-- Justin Wolfers (@JustinWolfers) Wed May 17 22:39:55 +0000 2023

Time to get 10 new commandments

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 02:27:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

A fire can be spotted burning inside a tree: this is typically due to a lightning hitting the trunk

[read more: https://buff.ly/3l3Zlgm]
[video: https://buff.ly/2YpqX86]

-- Massimo (@Rainmaker1973) Wed May 17 13:28:26 +0000 2023

Yes

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 02:45:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Are we gonna let China kick our ass in small EVs y'all?
https://www.businessinsider.com/cheap-chinese-electric-cars-will-upend-the-us-vehicle-market-2023-5

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Thu May 18 02:22:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This transmission project is a great case study in what's wrong with our current permitting system.

The developer keeps winning in court, but they get sued over and over — it's death by a thousand cuts.

We need permitting reform to prevent litigation abuse.

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Thu May 18 02:59:35 +0000 2023

Parrots call each other and talk on Zoom?

https://youtu.be/OHcAOlamgDc

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu May 18 03:25:17 +0000 2023

Scientists at UT Austin used artificial intelligence system called a semantic decoder to translate a person’s brain activity — while listening to a story or silently imagining telling a story — into a continuous stream of text.

Holy shit 🤯

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Tue May 16 03:24:37 +0000 2023

Just checked Facebook for the first time in a long while, and saw the following ad

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 03:41:55 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The conflict cannot end until Ukraine is part of the West

=> A powerful opinion piece on why we must integrate Ukraine in full

https://www.politico.eu/article/the-conflict-cannot-end-until-ukraine-is-part-of-the-west/

-- Edward Hunter Christie (@EHunterChristie) Tue May 16 01:04:45 +0000 2023

"Irregardless" was a grand coalition, produced when the "Regardless" and "Irrespective" parties united to present a united front against their true enemy, the long-ruling "Despite" party

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 04:18:30 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"IRREGARDLESS" HAS BEEN AROUND SINCE 1795. ITS INCLUSION IN THE DICTIONARY IS NOT A SIGN OF THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE FALLING TO PIECES, OR PROOF OF THE EDUCATIONAL SYSTEM FAILING, NOR IS IT THE WORK OF CURSED MILLENNIALS. IT JUST MEANS A LOT OF PEOPLE USE IT TO MEAN "REGARDLESS."

-- Merriam-Webster (@MerriamWebster) Sat May 13 14:23:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

once in a while i get utterly stunlocked by the existence of modern tankies. i can track the radicalization of jihadis or white supremacists, i can see the footsteps there. but you guys are just fucking inexplicable weirdos

-- jabuttee - luxurious memes and takes (@jabuttee) Mon May 15 22:59:13 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

This graph basically tells the entire story

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 04:22:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion DESPITE

-- Shippo (@entoliberal) Tue May 16 04:20:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Republic of Moldova is about to leave the Russian-dominated "Commonwealth of Independent States" (CIS). The first step, the withdrawal from the CIS assembly, has already been done. The next step is the formal termination of membership.

The main reason is Russia's ongoing… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1658216914164785164

-- (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) Mon May 15 21:04:55 +0000 2023

China will be wary of launching an invasion of Taiwan while American bases in the region are intact.

But if China preemptively destroys American bases, that's World War 3.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 04:27:17 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @IndoPac_Info

2) The Chinese military has developed plans to launch surprise and preemptive strikes on forward-deployed bases for US forces in Japan at bases in Yokosuka and Okinawa.

They would do this in order to prevent or reduce any strategic attack by American forces.

-- Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Military News (@IndoPac_Info) Mon May 15 13:17:20 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

If you're asking "But isn't this the Pearl Harbor strategy?", the answer is: Yes, it's basically the same. The difference is that unlike Japan, China outmanufactures the U.S. by a wide margin, so they might feel they're better prepared to win a long war.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 04:56:36 +0000 2023

My tribute to Robert Lucas -- the macroeconomist who fascinates me the most.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 08:05:58 +0000 2023

Damn, we are good at air defense.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 08:11:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The Ukrainian Air Force says Russia launched 6 Kinzhal missiles from 6 MiG-31K aircraft, 9 Kalibr cruise missiles from the Black Sea, 3 S-400 or Iskander-M missiles, and 6 Shahed / Geran-2 drones over night, all of which were successfully intercepted.
https://www.facebook.com/kpszsu/posts/pfbid02kEwdTQPk8tDEmgDZ6J8scu4SKm52iAnyEcGjWaoRB3h9Vm4VCG8Usxu2SMzgF88Nl

-- Rob Lee (@RALee85) Tue May 16 05:42:35 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Anyway, I wrote a post about this, with a little game theory

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/why-i-think-an-invasion-of-taiwan

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 08:15:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Great and accessible overview of Robert Lucas’ work

-- Pete Barbrook-Johnson (@bapeterj) Tue May 16 08:43:51 +0000 2023

Pete Barbrook-Johnson tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My tribute to Robert Lucas -- the macroeconomist who fascinates me the most.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 08:05:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It turns out that apart from fossil fuels (a big one) this … isn’t true.

Bootstrap with hydro, “mine” e-waste which is way more concentrated than legacy ores, etc.

-- Sam D'Amico (@sdamico) Tue May 16 05:02:01 +0000 2023

Sam D'Amico tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

I don’t recall who tweeted it recently, but I think about it all the time:

If humanity experienced an apocalypse, there would be no coming back from it. All the low-hanging mineral resource has been tapped

We’ve burned the ships

-- Misha Saul (@misha_saul) Tue May 16 00:30:30 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Topix closed at the highest level since Aug. 1990, when Patrick Swayze and Demi Moore made pottery sexy in 'Ghost'. The Nikkei is once again nearing 30,000.

We are so back.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-16/japan-s-topix-set-for-highest-level-in-more-than-three-decades?utm_source=website&utm_medium=share&utm_campaign=twitter?sref=tXumBMhb

-- Gearoid Reidy リーディー・ガロウド (@GearoidReidy) Tue May 16 08:40:08 +0000 2023

Robert Lucas didn't often find answers about how the economy worked, but he was great at asking questions.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 11:30:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Covid vaccines saved about 20 million lives.

-- Paul Graham (@paulg) Mon May 15 19:04:55 +0000 2023

Paul Graham tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Global impact of the first year of COVID-19 vaccination: a mathematical modelling study https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099%2822%2900320-6/fulltext

-- Edward Tufte (@EdwardTufte) Mon May 15 18:58:40 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:16:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

BREAKING: For just the fourth time (event) in history, #gasprices are down over $1/gal from the year ago level. Americans today will spend ~$382 million less on gasoline than one year ago.

-- Patrick De Haan ⛽️📊 (@GasBuddyGuy) Tue May 16 13:14:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @AlecStapp

Our defense industrial base needs more STEM talent.

https://www.axios.com/2023/05/15/science-tech-stem-china-immigration

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Tue May 16 13:54:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is about the cleanest test imaginable for whether you value process vs. substance

Instead of fighting thru a 6-stage, yearlong public process, NYC will simply shelter the homeless

Procedural fetish vs. roofs over heads

-- Alex Armlovich 🏗️🌐🔰🚋 (@aarmlovi) Tue May 16 15:15:03 +0000 2023

Alex Armlovich 🏗️🌐🔰🚋 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

NEW: Mayor Adams has signed an executive order suspending land use review, aka ULURP, for the siting and building of homeless shelters: https://gothamist.com/news/mayor-adams-suspends-nyc-review-process-for-building-shelters-as-more-migrants-arrive

-- Elizabeth Kim (@lizkimtweets) Tue May 16 14:19:21 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

My tribute to Robert E. Lucas http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/05/my-tribute-to-robert-e-lucas.html

-- Marginal Revolution (@MargRev) Tue May 16 14:29:22 +0000 2023

Plz test in RABBITS

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:24:41 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"A genetic alteration that extends the life of mice can be transferred to other mice via blood stem cells, and this could soon be tested in humans as a cancer treatment." https://www.newscientist.com/article/2373323-genetically-modified-stem-cells-extend-lifespan-of-mice-by-20-per-cent/

-- James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) Tue May 16 13:46:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The North American solar PV supply chain is taking shape: Canadian Premium Sand will expand production capacity in Alberta to provide 6 GW/year worth of solar panel glass to PV assembly plants in the USA run by Qcells, Meyer Burger, and Heliene
https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2023/05/15/solar-glass-provider-to-expand-production-by-6-gw-to-meet-demand/

-- JesseJenkins (@JesseJenkins) Tue May 16 12:06:24 +0000 2023

AI telepathy is coming

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:36:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Scientists at UT Austin used artificial intelligence system called a semantic decoder to translate a person’s brain activity — while listening to a story or silently imagining telling a story — into a continuous stream of text.

Holy shit 🤯

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Tue May 16 03:24:37 +0000 2023

Attn. conservative rich guys: Instead of shouting about George Soros online, just go quietly fund opposition to whatever Soros is funding.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:45:06 +0000 2023

Wow

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:49:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"The tower at 350 California in San Francisco, valued at $300 million in 2019, is expected to trade at about $60 million.| @Stimpyz1 \ Yikes....

-- Richard Christopher Whalen (@rcwhalen) Tue May 16 14:42:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Taiwan is eyeing a free trade agreement with India.

-- TaiwanPlus (@taiwanplusnews) Tue May 09 07:59:53 +0000 2023

Japan is going to become a porcupine.

https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2023/05/japan-doubles-down-on-standoff-missiles-to-deter-china/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 15:54:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- Nikolaj🍦🇺🇦 (@nikicaga) Mon May 15 18:34:45 +0000 2023

Nikolaj🍦🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What's a tweet that's so canonical in your mind you make shorthand reference to it, even if people might not know what you're talking about? (I sometimes just say "uh oh y'all it's gettin' kinda hazy" expecting people to get it)

-- cowboy postbop (Dan Lehner) (@danlehnermusic) Wed May 10 15:13:48 +0000 2023

🐇

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:04:07 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is astonishing. Between 2019 and 2023, the % of Republicans who said parents should be able to put their kids in public school without the MMR vaccine (even if it creates health risks for others), more than doubled, from 20% to 42%.
https://www.pewresearch.org/science/2023/05/16/americans-largely-positive-views-of-childhood-vaccines-hold-steady/

-- Samuel Perry (@profsamperry) Tue May 16 15:08:51 +0000 2023

Everyone talks about China's aging in terms of total population or working-age population, but it's interesting to realize that China's population of fighting-age men has *already* collapsed by a substantial amount.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:12:26 +0000 2023

Just breezing through SFO security in the regular line, while all the TSA Pre-Check and Clear people line up around the corner.

Shoulda taken game theory, folks

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:16:47 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Now I just need a Pre-Check for Peet's Coffee

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:25:49 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Of course, that number is still in the hundreds of millions, so.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:29:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"the YIMBY movement ... may be one of the most important movements in American politics today"

I agree!

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/16/briefing/cities-yimby-exodus-college-graduates.html

-- Brian Hanlon (@hanlonbt) Tue May 16 16:03:21 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is a good summary of what #HongKong is now, including “Hong Kong is still beautiful, still exciting to visit, still an amazement of good food and bright lights, but no longer free in any sense.” https://www.newsroom.co.nz/hong-kong-the-end

-- Kevin Yam 任建峰 (@kevinkfyam) Tue May 16 04:01:08 +0000 2023

I'm imagining a type of guy who thinks crypto is a big technological breakthrough but solar is a government scheme to make us consume less

Please tell me I'm just imagining this guy

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:50:36 +0000 2023

"Why are we in Ukraine?" seems like a bit of a pointless question to ask, since we are not in Ukraine

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 16:52:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Tremendous cover story from the new @Harpers: https://harpers.org/archive/2023/06/why-are-we-in-ukraine/

-- Helen Andrews (@herandrews) Mon May 15 13:16:56 +0000 2023

Zoomers are buying homes earlier than their parents did

https://www.redfin.com/news/gen-z-millennial-homeownership-rate-home-purchases/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 19:19:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“In other words, macroeconomics after Lucas was Lucasian, and it remains largely so to this day. That doesn’t mean Lucas created absolute consensus in the field — most macroeconomists will have some kind of problem with at least one of Lucas’ basic ideas, and many will have… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1658404326597959681

-- Anna Gát 🧭 ✈️ (@TheAnnaGat) Tue May 16 09:29:37 +0000 2023

Anna Gát 🧭 ✈️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My tribute to Robert Lucas -- the macroeconomist who fascinates me the most.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 08:05:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is probably just a negotiating position from Republican leadership, but seems like a great way to kill a bipartisan deal.

Democrats in both the House and Senate have been consistently clear that permitting reform must include transmission.

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Tue May 16 18:29:37 +0000 2023

The easiest way to find economists who use EJMR is to write a paper about EJMR and post it on Twitter

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 19:43:19 +0000 2023

🤨

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 19:45:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"I see no reason why every other country in the world should be prevented from feeling pride in itself because the Germans mucked up twice in a century."

-@DouglasKMurray at the #NatConUK gala dinner

-- National Conservatism (@NatConTalk) Tue May 16 09:31:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Several housing bills passed since 2016 in CA are working as intended and accelerating home building.

Thanks for the shout-out to @cayimby-sponsored reforms in strengthening ADU law and the Housing Accountability Act!

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2023-05-05/california-housing-shortage-crisis-laws-reforms-rents-homes-homeless

-- Brian Hanlon (@hanlonbt) Tue May 16 18:30:50 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Mingpao estimates that a whopping 40% of political books have been taken down from #HongKong libraries. Gone are books by pro-democracy leaders; in are books by the Chinese govt or pro-Beijing voices. Beijing's trying to rewrite history: https://news.mingpao.com/pns/%e8%a6%81%e8%81%9e/article/20230515/s00001/1684089309882/%e5%8f%8d%e4%bd%94%e4%b8%ad%e6%9b%b8%e7%ba%8c%e8%a6%8b-%e5%8f%8d%e4%bf%ae%e4%be%8b%e6%96%b0%e8%81%9e%e7%89%b9%e5%af%ab%e6%b6%88%e5%a4%b1

-- Maya Wang 王松蓮 (@wang_maya) Mon May 15 12:39:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- Out of Context Human Race (@NoContextHumans) Tue May 16 16:29:22 +0000 2023

OH HELL YEAH

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 20:03:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The IRS has quietly built its own prototype system to allow Americans to file tax returns digitally and free of charge, according to three current and former agency officials, essentially creating government software that could disrupt the industry.
https://wapo.st/3pFsd4I

-- The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) Mon May 15 16:56:12 +0000 2023

Trump will be at a mild electoral disadvantage in 2024 relative to 2020, thanks to a bunch of old Republicans who for some reason rejected Trump's own vaccine and died of Covid

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 20:06:15 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The thing about people who say stuff like, “the US could never draw lessons from places like Japan, because something something culture and they’ve always been the way they are,” is that they don’t actually know what they are talking about

-- Aaron Carr (@aaronAcarr) Tue May 16 16:32:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Immigrants, we get the job done.

I sat down to hear Tracy’s immigrant family journey, and this much is clear: one of the most vibrant parts of the American experience is the story of immigrants coming to the country with nothing and building businesses that create prosperity

-- Garry Tan 陈嘉兴 🛡️ (@garrytan) Tue May 16 16:23:11 +0000 2023

Garry Tan 陈嘉兴 🛡️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

PlanGrid and @TigerEyeLabs co-founder @Tracy_Young on immigration, representation, and “the most important decision” in her life: http://ow.ly/f5Pz50Opitl

-- Y Combinator (@ycombinator) Tue May 16 16:10:15 +0000 2023

Chinese young people don't have jobs AND the government restricted video games to 2 hours a day???

What are people supposed to DO all day??

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 20:16:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

China’s youth unemployment rate hit a record 20.4%, while urban rate is at 5.2%. The real pic is prob. more dire. Searching unemployment on 小红书, an app not as censored as others, over 584,000 results come up (some from overseas users). Ppl are scared, frustrated & panicking

-- Linda Lew 刘凌达 (@Lindadalew) Tue May 16 04:54:37 +0000 2023

Security robot rolling past my window in Phoenix.

The cyberpunk future is truly here.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 20:17:56 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Great reflection on the towering figure that was Bob Lucas

“macroeconomics after Lucas was Lucasian, and it remains largely so to this day.”

-- jasonpottsGPT (@profjasonpotts) Tue May 16 11:44:19 +0000 2023

jasonpottsGPT tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Robert Lucas didn't often find answers about how the economy worked, but he was great at asking questions.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/thus-passes-robert-lucas?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 11:30:00 +0000 2023

The U.S. needs to add a points-based immigration system!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:15:17 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

How long will the U.S. stay complacent?

🇬🇧 launched four new visas for talent last year
🇨🇦 set record immigration targets last Nov.
🇩🇪 cabinet approved points-based system in March
🇯🇵 launched two new visas for top talent in April
🇸🇬 launching a new points-based system this fall

-- Jeremy Neufeld (@JeremyLNeufeld) Tue May 16 21:32:15 +0000 2023

China is trying to use economic power to bully South Korea.

It isn't working.

https://asiatimes.com/2023/05/chinas-economic-coercion-hits-a-chip-wall-in-s-korea/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:27:22 +0000 2023

This is pretty cool.

Fundamental physics theory ain't dead!!

https://www.quantamagazine.org/a-new-kind-of-symmetry-shakes-up-physics-20230418/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:30:47 +0000 2023

A large-scale study of U.S. cities finds that loosening land use restrictions leads to more construction and lower rents.

As usual, the YIMBYs are right about everything.

https://www.urban.org/research/publication/land-use-reforms-and-housing-costs

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:33:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

There was really no reckoning for all of those celebrity and politician NFT scam artists, huh? We all just moved right along.

-- Ben Collins (@oneunderscore__) Tue May 16 21:13:45 +0000 2023

This is a really excellent story about German manufacturing companies, by @adwooldridge. Definitely give it a read.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/features/2023-04-11/germany-s-economic-future-depends-on-its-non-fortune-500-companies?sref=R8NfLgwS

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:48:21 +0000 2023

Interesting finding: around 7 out of 10 U.S.-born Asian Americans consider themselves "a typical American".

That seems like a good sign!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:56:43 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Seems like good nuance to balance out the finding (in a different survey) that 80% of Asian Americans don't feel they fully belong...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 22:57:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

🟦 80% of #AsianAmericans do not feel they fully belong and are accepted in the US

🟦 More than half of Asian Americans surveyed don't feel safe in public places

🟦 1 in 5 Americans still believe that Asian Americans are partly responsible for COVID-19

@taaforg @IAmAmnaNawaz https://twitter.com/NewsHour/status/1658241208429191176

-- Jennifer Lee 🦁 (@JLeeSoc) Tue May 16 18:02:04 +0000 2023

Andreessen Horowitz general partners: "While some American investors previously chased investments in adversarial countries such as China, it’s now clear they bet on the wrong government."

https://www.wsj.com/articles/venture-capitalists-should-bet-on-america-musk-startup-spacex-pentagon-innovation-9ae22c1b

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 23:09:50 +0000 2023

Arizona and Utah are emerging as big manufacturing hubs. New York and Texas are also getting some chip manufacturing.

https://eig.org/reshaping-the-manufacturing-sector/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 23:25:46 +0000 2023

"China is adapting to this changed environment [of export controls], but perhaps with fewer changes than some expected. This serves as evidence that the Biden administration’s calculations in launching the new policy were generally correct"

https://www.csis.org/analysis/chinas-new-strategy-waging-microchip-tech-war

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 23:29:13 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Opponents of export controls claim that they'll just cause China to build its own chip industry faster. But the fact that China hasn't really done much in response to the new export controls suggests they were already trying as hard as they could.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 23:31:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

holy hell, installing an induction stove is proving to be a massive pain. they're talking about cutting out chunks of our ceiling to run a wire through to the panel in the garage, which means potentially repainting the entire ceiling.

@sdamico uhhh please hurry with Impulse.

-- robert jackson bennett, pleasure craft (@robertjbennett) Tue May 16 22:03:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

What Is the ‘Quad’ alliance?

Here's what you need to know about the United States' alliance with India, Australia and Japan — and its critics https://trib.al/EBNU5rY

-- Bloomberg Next China (@next_china) Tue May 16 23:57:17 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Great job, populists! 🤡 | "Government actions to attract foreign nationals for skilled and unskilled jobs have spread from Germany to Japan and include countries with longtime immigration restrictions. The U.S. remains an outlier." https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-worlds-biggest-economies-cautiously-open-their-doors-to-more-foreign-workers-664c3549?st=z0tvx7k34dvbmnb

-- James Pethokoukis (@JimPethokoukis) Wed May 17 00:08:38 +0000 2023

I like this policy idea because it's both gallopingly stupid AND it's something no voter will notice or care about

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 00:15:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

If he runs for President, Mike Pence is going to call for eliminating the employment side of the Fed's mandate. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-16/fed-s-jobs-mandate-under-fire-as-mike-pence-wants-bank-to-fight-inflation-only?sref=vuYGislZ

-- Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) Tue May 16 23:18:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

NYC construction workers who built a subway line in 4 years: "Wow, in the future, with newer technology, they'll be able to build a subway in less than half the time!"

*Time travels to 2023*

"wtf."

-- Noah Mullins (@NoahMullins) Wed May 17 00:04:15 +0000 2023

Noah Mullins tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

BREAKING: Metrolinx issues, a statement saying Crosslinx Transit Solutions (the consortium building the Eglinton crosstown) intends to litigate and “stop working with the TTC”

This means an already delayed project, has been hit with another snag.

#onpoli

-- Colin D'Mello | Global News (@ColinDMello) Tue May 16 11:51:50 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

To all the Russia stans who are like "Yes we are in Ukraine, because we spend a bunch of money trying to help them", by this standard we're also in your grandma

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 00:23:56 +0000 2023

It's very on brand for Russia to constantly brag that they have a missile that can't be intercepted, and then to fire a bunch of those missiles and have them all get intercepted.

https://news.yahoo.com/ukraine-intercepts-all-incoming-russian-missiles-in-latest-barrage-200411992.html

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 00:29:20 +0000 2023

I honestly don't even know what these people are talking about anymore

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 00:36:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @profsamperry

@profsamperry @Noahpinion You liberals caused this by lying about the COVID vaccine so much for so long. You need to accept responsibility for your own lies & authoritarian tactics. You knew there could be blowback like this, but your only answer was to double down on the lies & authoritarianism.

-- dekachin (@dekach1n) Tue May 16 17:32:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Incredible.

-- Alex Tabarrok 🛡️ (@ATabarrok) Tue May 16 22:40:14 +0000 2023

Alex Tabarrok 🛡️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Meet Dr. Eugene Lazowski, a Polish physician who rescued 8,000 Jewish individuals during World War 2 by ingeniously fabricating a false typhus outbreak in Stalowa Wola, a Polish city under Nazi occupation.

Researchers made an intriguing revelation: a specific strain of bacteria… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1658567957151207431

-- Historic Vids (@historyinmemes) Tue May 16 20:19:50 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- non aesthetic things (@PicturesFoIder) Wed May 17 00:06:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- non aesthetic things (@PicturesFoIder) Tue May 16 17:42:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The United States will soon send additional security assistance to #Taiwan, U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said on Tuesday.

https://www.marketscreener.com/amp/news/latest/U-S-to-send-additional-security-assistance-to-Taiwan-soon-Pentagon-chief--43868543/

-- William Yang (@WilliamYang120) Tue May 16 23:09:21 +0000 2023

Man, I need to get in on the "making up fake stories to make a political point" game.

Like that time I suggested a 4% inflation target to Robert Lucas and he yelled "We TRIED fucking inflation! We tried it in the 70s! It didn't fucking work!!"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 01:15:38 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

jk that happened

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 01:15:53 +0000 2023

Superpredators!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 01:28:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

OPD arrested five individuals connected to an armed robbery series. The three adults and two juveniles have plagued the city of Oakland over the last 30 days, committing at least 10 armed robberies citywide.

More in the link below:
https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=623242836513615&set=a.302728881898347

-- Oakland Police Dept. (@oaklandpoliceca) Tue May 16 20:32:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Arnold @Schwarzenegger is calling for bipartisan permitting reform!

“We can no longer accept years of environmental review, thousand-page reports, and lawsuit after lawsuit keeping us from building.

We have to build, build, build.”

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Wed May 17 01:17:39 +0000 2023

Despite a million Twitter threads claiming that persuasion doesn't work and there are no swing voters, persuasion does work and there are plenty of swing voters.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Wed May 17 01:56:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

You know what, I’ll eat crow. Republicans absolutely blew out the Democrats on turn out, but once again, crossover support and persuasion carried the Democrats to victory. https://twitter.com/MappingFL/status/1658613186092838914

-- Graham Gallagher (@GrahamGallaghe9) Tue May 16 23:25:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Just updated my paper on how land zoning and public finance are intertwined in China! Here's the abstract and link

https://anthonyleezhang.github.io/pdfs/cls.pdf

-- Anthony Lee Zhang (@AnthonyLeeZhang) Mon May 15 17:31:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Size comparison between the Titanic and a Modern Cruise Ship

-- World Of History (@UmarBzv) Tue May 16 22:00:35 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

one more thing on this

accounting for chores, Americans have the same amount of leisure time of swedes

-- Samuele 🌐🏗️ (@weatherdai) Mon May 15 12:34:42 +0000 2023

Samuele 🌐🏗️ tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Capitalism has so permeated our existence that "average hours worked" has been consistently declining for decades. https://twitter.com/DisabilityStor1/status/1657744620028063744

-- Matt Darling 🌐🏗️ (@besttrousers) Sun May 14 14:05:31 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @AlecStapp

Degrowth is bad https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/people-are-realizing-that-degrowth

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Tue May 16 20:42:53 +0000 2023

❤️❤️❤️🇰🇷🇰🇷🇰🇷

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 03:39:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

"As sales of Japanese brand goods have gained growing popularity over the past few months, 'Boycott Japan' becomes thing of past in South Korea" https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/tech/2023/05/129_350765.html

-- Tokyo Fashion (@TokyoFashion) Sun May 14 17:04:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

You who are convinced EVs are a hoax, bad for environment or a leftist/right-wing ploy, read this.

And stop the excessive fossil fuel mining/pumping already.

-- Janne Karaste (@jkaraste) Sun May 14 23:54:59 +0000 2023

Janne Karaste tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

This is unfortunately true.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 07:01:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @drvolts

@drvolts @Noahpinion The battle for EV fans is between EVs and ICE, not car-dependent lifestyle vs urbanism. The latter is not even on their radar.

Urbanists have set up EVs as fake opponent to rally against since urbanists don’t (yet) have sufficient momentum for their own solution.

-- Bob Mayo (@Bob_Mayo) Sun May 14 23:26:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @AukeHoekstra

I especially like how he takes a stand against the myopic idea that the EV is somehow a capitalist monster hurting the developing world.

Read it: he's good!

-- AukeHoekstra (@AukeHoekstra) Sun May 14 19:49:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @JuliaDavisNews

Russian propagandist Akim Apachev: "We have to destroy, to kill all bearers of the Ukrainian national idea."

RT's former Director of Broadcasting, Anton Krasovsky: "Are they the majority in Ukraine right now?"

Apachev: "Yes."

https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1657148287395266561?s=20

-- Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) Sat May 13 17:25:40 +0000 2023

Julia Davis tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

RT's former Director of Broadcasting, Anton Krasovsky, talks to propagandist Akim Apachev about killing millions of Ukrainians, turning Ukrainian children into Russians and other genocidal ideas. They also touch on Bakhmut, Medvedchuk and Prigozhin.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I5yvjyJdDW0

-- Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) Fri May 12 22:18:34 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

German-Ukrainian declaration: "Russia must immediately, completely and unconditionally withdraw all its military forces from the territory of Ukraine within its internationally recognized borders." https://www.president.gov.ua/en/news/spilna-deklaraciya-ukrayini-ta-nimechchini-82893

-- Ulrich Speck (@ulrichspeck) Sun May 14 17:26:01 +0000 2023

Total factor productivity growth had slowed down by the 2010s, but only modestly. The 70s were much worse.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 09:00:49 +0000 2023

Technology has utterly changed the nature of human life over the last three decades.

Sometimes I get a little dizzy just thinking about how different we live now relative to how we lived in 1990.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-technology-has-changed-the-world?sd=pf

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 09:29:57 +0000 2023

A number of people claim that technological progress has slowed down.

I think we need a more expansive vision of what technology does for a society.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-technology-has-changed-the-world

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 11:32:00 +0000 2023

No matter what the AI era brings us, the 2000s and 2010s absolutely WERE an era of radical technological change.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-technology-has-changed-the-world

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 15:00:02 +0000 2023

Yeah I hope the new revamped DEI is less shitty and racist, but I'm not going to get my hopes up...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 15:36:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Incredible stuff. Businesses are finding that the DEI consultants they hire are running programs that create even more identity-based hostility and are responding by hiring other DEI consultants who market themselves as not doing that. All of this is fake

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/13/business/diversity-equity-inclusion-belonging.html

-- Matt Bruenig (@MattBruenig) Mon May 15 15:03:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Haven’t read, but sounds right to me. Who’s worried about range? Been driving an EV since 2021. Honestly never occurred to me that range might be a problem. I have heard generally bad experience with non-Tesla charging stations but expect those will improve?

-- Steve Hou (“CONSUME LESS!”) (@stevehouf) Mon May 15 11:05:06 +0000 2023

Steve Hou (“CONSUME LESS!”) tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Enjoying the replies which are all:
A) What about my [insanely rare] use case?
B) No! I want degrowth and to end capitalism.
C) No! EVs are a leftist scam to control people.

None appear to have read it

-- Will 🇺🇦 Absolute Shower (@ShowerAbsolute) Mon May 15 06:53:55 +0000 2023

Will 🇺🇦 Absolute Shower tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Good read from @Noahpinion on the case for EV optimism and inevitability https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) Mon May 15 16:55:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Today is a sad day for economics. Robert E. Lucas, Jr., a great researcher and teacher died this morning.

-- Tim Kehoe 🇺🇦 (@TimTkehoe) Mon May 15 15:42:51 +0000 2023

Honestly I think that the "EVs = sprawl" argument is just the idea that if EVs hadn't gotten so cheap, we could have used climate change to force the dismantling of suburbia, and now we can't do that.

That idea is pure fantasy, of course.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 17:40:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

EVs won’t “supercharge” suburban sprawl but they will absolutely, positively preserve it. https://twitter.com/noahpinion/status/1657717401151246337

-- Martyn Schmoll (@martynschmoll) Mon May 15 17:38:00 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Basically in 2010 or so, the whole world was geared up for a fight over the hard choices they assumed climate change would force us to make.

Then tech saved us.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 17:41:53 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

"Tech. Won't. Save. Us." is a leftist mantra, because leftists have always been very wedded to the idea that some inevitable force will naturally destroy capitalism for them. With Marxism, the inevitable force was "history"; in the 2010s, many thought it was climate change.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 17:56:49 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

But inevitable forces will *not* destroy capitalism for you; if you want to destroy capitalism, you're going to have to come up with a better alternative.

And this focus on eschatology and inevitability blinded many leftists to the real power of technological innovation.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 17:58:00 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Of course "tech saved us" is a little glib, because it hasn't saved us yet; just given us the tools to save ourselves, if we so choose. A massive amount of policymaking and social coordination will still be required to *implement* the tech that will save us.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:04:11 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Smart progressives are focusing on that implementation -- building out solar power and transmission and electric cars and all the other stuff as fast as possible -- while many leftists are still mentally adjusting to the fact that climate change will not kill capitalism for them.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:05:54 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Spoiled children sit around and wait for their parents to take away all the bad things they don't like; responsible adults roll up their sleeves and start changing things themselves.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:07:08 +0000 2023

Important thread on the Turkish election!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:07:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Reflections on the Turkish election. (Thread)

It's hard not to be disappointed with the outcome. Erdogan close to a victory, even if there will most likely be a runoff. This is worse than most of us expected.

-- Daron Acemoglu (@DAcemogluMIT) Mon May 15 17:25:47 +0000 2023

Yesterday at a party someone told a Polish joke, and the punchline was just "LOL, Polish people are dumb", and we all failed to get the joke, because our stereotype was that Polish people are smart.

Stereotypes like this can change very fast, which is why they are dumb.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:20:50 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

My dad continues to be correct:

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:21:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My dad (a psychologist): "When I was young, people were saying 'Why are Jews so smart?'. Now they're saying 'Why are Asians so smart?'. In another 40 years they'll be saying 'Why are Africans so smart?'. And they'll come up with some new ridiculous theory."

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Thu Jun 13 23:15:15 +0000 2019

Replying to @Noahpinion

Really I think it's mostly just economic development. When a place goes from poor to rich, people say "Oh i GuEss ThOSE PeopLe WErE smART AFtEr all", and look for the next group of people to feel superior to, until those people get rich too...

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-polandmalaysia-model

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:25:27 +0000 2023

👇👇👇👇👇

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:29:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion From the book "How the World Got Rich".

-- Francisco (@frdezavalia) Mon May 15 18:29:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

New paper finds that increased regulatory costs explain about a third of the increase in market power over the last 50 years.

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Mon May 15 14:23:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

How does the "Profits Drive Inflation" crowd explain this?

-- David Andolfatto (@dandolfa) Mon May 15 17:09:25 +0000 2023

Also, the Millennials are going to see their wealth explode up off of this path in their 50s when their parents start dying and leaving them a bunch of real estate. But that is also not a great way of structuring wealth distribution in a society.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:41:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Yea, people point out that millennials are on roughly the same trajectory as boomers were — maybe so, but I think the bigger point is that this trajectory is not a great way of structuring wealth distribution in a society https://twitter.com/conorsen/status/1657829853809238020

-- James Medlock (@jdcmedlock) Mon May 15 17:45:29 +0000 2023

It is correct to see degrowth not as a universal ideology but as a British one

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:42:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Britain: The degrowth success story!

"The UK has been remarkably successful in weaning itself off its growth addiction. I’m surprised that supporters of degrowth don’t celebrate these charts more.'
https://www.worksinprogress.news/p/degrowth-and-the-monkeys-paw

-- Mike Bird (@Birdyword) Mon May 15 09:49:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Whenever some grifter says liberals let loose unwell people to the streets just remind them that it was Ronald Reagan who cut mental health funding during national de-institutionalization and caused hundreds of thousands to suffer on the streets to this day.

-- Darrell Owens (@IDoTheThinking) Mon May 15 14:37:14 +0000 2023

Darrell Owens tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Super important to note https://twitter.com/idothethinking/status/1658112172734533637

-- LizzieofRatCity (@lizzieofratcity) Mon May 15 14:14:05 +0000 2023

In case you were wondering whether colonialism was actually good, here's a thread explaining why no, in fact it was not good.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 18:43:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Was colonialism good? No.

Did colonialism at least do good things? Still no.

To see why, look no further than the 1884-85 Berlin Conference.

[THREAD]

-- Paul Poast (@ProfPaulPoast) Sun May 14 11:40:50 +0000 2023

An important strain of AI research is just measuring historical scaling laws.

I like this paper because it looks at a wide array of metrics.

https://hai.stanford.edu/news/ais-ostensible-emergent-abilities-are-mirage

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 19:05:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The pandemic and consequent rise of remote work devastated the finances of every major mass transit system in the U.S. Covid relief funds have papered over the crisis but now that money's running out. Shorter operating hours and service cuts loom https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/05/americas-mass-transit-systems-are-speeding-toward-a-cliff.html

-- Eric Levitz (@EricLevitz) Mon May 15 15:13:09 +0000 2023

Michael Tracey is in luck!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 19:25:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Putin signed a decree allowing foreigners to obtain Russian citizenship in a simplified procedure.

For a new passport, one would only need to sign a contract for military service and go to fight near Bakhmut.

-- NEXTA (@nexta_tv) Mon May 15 12:08:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“He embezzled the money….” A recurring phrase used with many individuals responsible for the modernization & training of Russia’s military.

-- MarkHertling (@MarkHertling) Mon May 15 11:58:55 +0000 2023

MarkHertling tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This is retired Russian Air Force General Vyacheslav Lobuzko. He was paid to set up the national air defense system against cruise missiles and ballistic missiles in Russia. Turns out the system doesn't work because he embezzled the money. He was arrested earlier this month.

-- Igor Sushko (@igorsushko) Mon May 15 01:03:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Some great Robert Lucas stories from @PIrelandEcon on his days as a grad student at Chicago, including this one with @JohnHCochrane. These excerpts are from a 2016 podcast with Peter: https://www.mercatus.org/macro-musings/peter-ireland-chicago-school-federal-reserve-policy-targets-and-monetary-aggregates

-- David Beckworth (@DavidBeckworth) Mon May 15 18:49:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The world’s biggest, most functional city might also be the most pedestrian-friendly. That’s not a coincidence.
@Noahpinion

https://heatmap.news/economy/tokyo-anti-car-pedestrian-paradise

-- Barry Ritholtz (@ritholtz) Mon May 15 11:02:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Bunnies are the essence of wholesomeness 🥰🥰🥰

-- OBDsity | Bunnies in a Bun Dance 🐰✖6️⃣ (@obdsity) Mon May 15 19:25:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Here’s the thing: Iraq may have bent the Army out of shape (it did - ran it ragged and turned a heavy force that might have been useful against Russia into a constabulary)…but the problem re China is that it bent the -Navy- out of shape. https://www.economist.com/international/2023/03/21/how-the-iraq-war-bent-americas-army-out-of-shape

-- Martin Skold (@MartinSkold2) Mon May 15 14:43:30 +0000 2023

I should do a thread about how a whole bunch of Twitter randos who don't understand physics tried to jump on me for saying vehicle weight doesn't matter much when striking a pedestrian, only to discover that it was they who did not understand physics.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 20:59:41 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @mattyglesias

@mattyglesias A physics teacher has helpfully written up a detailed explanation of why "p=mv" doesn't make much difference at all here:

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1nERuJylCqR42irULLTVOMjIefb4yD63FI4yLpJpnO4A/edit

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 06:54:11 +0000 2023

Every day, drones prove more effective on the battlefield than anyone realized even a short while ago.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 21:01:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

As I repeat continuously: no vehicle can survive the future battlefield unless it has an active protection system capable of defeating anti-tank guided missiles AND loitering munitions. https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1658028491126784002

-- Thomas C. Theiner (@noclador) Mon May 15 08:59:25 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

It's really an amazing case study on how Twitter's social dynamics and incentives break people's brains.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 21:02:21 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Matt was not one of the people I'm talking about; he merely raised a reasonable question.

However, I did not say EVs are "perfect in every way", only that none of the arguments against their adoption hold up.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 21:18:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion My recollection of what happened here is that you said EVs are perfect in every way. Then I said they would lead to more pedestrian fatalities because vehicle mass matters. And since I’m right, the claim has now shifted to it doesn’t matter “much.” Okay. But I’m still right.

-- Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) Mon May 15 21:05:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

🚨 News:

70 national security officials just sent a letter to the new House China Select Committee on the importance of STEM talent for American security.

The officials urge Congress to streamline visas for international talent to maintain technological leadership over China.

-- Caleb Watney (@calebwatney) Mon May 15 20:58:10 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

This post was partially a response to @tylercowen's and @paulkrugman's posts about technological change slowing down...

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 23:07:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Electric school buses -- the most purely virtuous & delightful win-win-win in all of clean energy -- are coming in earnest. The trickle has become a stampede. 🥰 https://www.canarymedia.com/articles/electric-vehicles/how-us-school-buses-are-going-electric-in-four-charts

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Mon May 15 20:50:17 +0000 2023

Anglosphere countries are uniquely bad at building housing and ensuring affordability.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 23:15:38 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

groypers! tankies! your country needs you!

-- James Palmer (@BeijingPalmer) Mon May 15 14:21:05 +0000 2023

James Palmer tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Putin signed a decree allowing foreigners to obtain Russian citizenship in a simplified procedure.

For a new passport, one would only need to sign a contract for military service and go to fight near Bakhmut.

-- NEXTA (@nexta_tv) Mon May 15 12:08:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Another NIMBY being like "we're all trying to find the guy who did this" https://www.ktvu.com/news/dave-chappelle-reportedly-blasts-san-francisco-at-surprise-show-what-the-f-happened-to-this-place

-- Ned Resnikoff (@resnikoff) Mon May 15 23:07:20 +0000 2023

New labor market indicator just dropped, folks

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 23:53:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Ever notice that rush hour starts at 3pm now?

Nobody works anymore.

American capitalism has become a total simulacrum like late-stage Soviet society.

-- Justin Murphy (@jmrphy) Mon May 15 19:12:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is what “degrowth” actually looks like in practice:

Economic immiseration amid an energy crisis.

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Mon May 15 23:48:11 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Geoffrey Hinton's great-great-grandfather is George Boole—the English mathematician that developed Boolean algebra and worked with differential equations. https://georgeboole.com/news/george-booles-great-great-grandson-prof-geoffrey-hinton-wins-nobel-prize-of-computing-.html

-- Kweku Opoku-Agyemang, Ph.D (@KwekuOA) Mon May 15 13:43:26 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

An ambitious bipartisan deal on permitting reform is within reach.

Key Republican said he's "willing to negotiate to strike a deal ... to make it easier to build transmission lines."

Democrats get substantive transmission reforms.

Republicans get substantive NEPA reforms.

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Tue May 16 00:03:37 +0000 2023

Alec Stapp tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

In ME: My interview with @RepGarretGraves, who's not giving ground on GOP push for permitting in debt negotiations despite lingering disagreements on details. “[Democrats] need it worse than we do,” told me. “But we’re certainly not going to sell ourselves short here.”

-- Joshua Siegel (@SiegelScribe) Mon May 15 13:26:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Enormous pleasure writing this story about Japan's suddenly energized startup scene for the kind folks at @restofworld. I talked to a lot of terrific people for it. https://restofworld.org/2023/japan-tech-industry-jobs-growing/

-- Roland Kelts (@rolandkelts) Tue May 16 00:04:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @AlecStapp

Fun fact:

More than 99% of environmental assessments (EAs) conclude with a “finding of no significant impact” (FONSI).

One reform idea: Let's make EAs internal agency guides and save staff time and court time for environmental impact statements (EISs).

https://progress.institute/environmental-assessment-reform/

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Tue May 16 00:09:03 +0000 2023

Oh no

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 00:22:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Zero Covid -> ZeroHedge pipeline is real
@Noahpinion @BeijingPalmer

-- Zoomer Antimillenarian 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@surcomplicated) Tue May 16 00:21:02 +0000 2023

BORG BUGS

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Tue May 16 01:42:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

yo what the FUCK https://twitter.com/CobaltKitsune/status/1658188248676704256

-- @tautologer.com 🦋 (@tautologer) Mon May 15 22:31:07 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Cybersecurity is about to get rough.

As suspected, AI is great at creating spearphishing attacks, emails that feel real but compromise security.

And they can do it at scale, where previously it took a lot of effort. Open source models seem capable, too. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2305.06972.pdf https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1658272264897404928

-- Ethan Mollick (@emollick) Tue May 16 00:44:51 +0000 2023

One thing I only briefly mention here is that once EVs become half our car fleet in 2030, gas stations become unprofitable and fold. At that point, having a gasoline car starts to create range anxiety and hassle, and everyone switches to EVs.

Reverse network effect. https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1657643709230616583

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 08:07:24 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Oh and they won't be able to convert to charging stations because EVs will almost always be charged at home, or in parking lots or garages etc.

Damn, actually now this has me worried for small businesspeople who own gas stations.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 08:13:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

India’s state capacity is now above the global average!

https://berggruen.org/2022-governance-index/reports/berggruen-index-report-web.pdf

-- Shruti Rajagopalan (@srajagopalan) Sun May 14 01:58:13 +0000 2023

no mercy

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 08:34:01 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

"From 2018 to 2022, these savings led to an average annual reduction of over $200 in electricity costs for the average Texas household. As wind and solar installations increase, this figure is expected to rise." #txlege #txenergy #energytwitter
https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2023/05/12/wind-and-solar-energy-saved-texans-11-billion-in-2022/

-- Doug Lewin (@douglewinenergy) Sat May 13 16:44:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

said it before but no cover will ever look more like how it sounds than this

-- laura 🦠 (@ecto_fun) Sat May 13 22:35:34 +0000 2023

laura 🦠 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

(album covers that look exactly like the album sounds) https://twitter.com/parasocialyte/status/1657373842329722883

-- e mail (@ThePostsOffice) Sat May 13 13:20:18 +0000 2023

Well, he's right

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 08:50:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

ICYMI: Made the case for smarter coalition-building in the Indo-Pacific

Read the op-ed in @NikkeiAsia🔽
https://www.rubio.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?p=Press-Releases&id=978065A8-29D4-4E7E-A6C6-ABF91130DCFD

-- Senator Marco Rubio (@SenMarcoRubio) Thu May 11 13:26:01 +0000 2023

This is why community moderation with fragmented communities is the one and only thing that has ever made the internet a good place.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 08:51:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Most people don’t exactly want free speech. They want a moderator that shares their values. And they should be able to get that.

-- Balaji (@balajis) Sun May 14 08:48:53 +0000 2023

Boomers, man 😂

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 09:39:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Jenny Diski's grim observations of the sexual revolution during the Sixties

-- Rob Henderson (@robkhenderson) Tue Apr 19 17:35:07 +0000 2022

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

The EV revolution is a technological revolution for the ages. It's going to put a huge dent in carbon emissions, and make transportation cheaper and nicer for a huge fraction of humanity.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 15:00:00 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

@mattyglesias For example, this old study claims a tiny effect on passenger fatalities compared to other effects of vehicle weight:

(pdf link)

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://crashstats.nhtsa.dot.gov/Api/Public/ViewPublication/808569&ved=2ahUKEwj1qNaKmvX-AhVsBEQIHRNJDkEQFnoECAkQAQ&usg=AOvVaw05l04qgO3V82JqHECLqgQQ

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 16:17:42 +0000 2023

Do it do it do it

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 16:46:19 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Prigozhin going full frenzy and basically calling for rebellion.

The Kremlin already tried to tiptoe around Prigozhin's verbal attacks but this is too bold to be ignored, unless they want Wagner mercenaries starting to take matters in their hands.
#Ukraine https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1657428866078584834

-- (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) Sat May 13 17:20:19 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Texas state legislature is in the process of targeting renewable energy with new onerous regulations while giving preferences to fossil fuels.

Economic self-sabotage in action…

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Sun May 14 11:56:48 +0000 2023

Twitter in general has gotten much worse over the last year or two, but there are still some great accounts left to discover. My two most favorite recent finds are @KwekuOA and @terrorproforma.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:22:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Why fentanyl is deadlier than heroin, in a single photo

Cc: @garrytan @DavidSacks @JTLonsdale @DavidAgus

https://www.statnews.com/2016/09/29/why-fentanyl-is-deadlier-than-heroin/

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Sun May 14 16:27:44 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

It's kind of wild to me how people just bend over backwards to find reasons why EVs are bad, and then when you look closely, *all* those reasons crumble.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:33:24 +0000 2023

Yes, I think "less of a physical difference between cities and suburbs" is clearly the future.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:35:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

My latest at CSY. Suburbs are missing the forest for the trees. Suburbanists point to myopic data suggesting people prefer them. But the big picture suggests suburbs and cities are becoming more alike.

Suburbs: Still Bashing Cities, Are You? https://cornersideyard.blogspot.com/2023/05/suburbs-still-bashing-cities-are-you.html

-- Pete Saunders (@petesaunders3) Sun May 14 16:10:28 +0000 2023

Has this movie been completely forgotten?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:36:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

repo men should be part of an untouchable caste, alongside retail loss prevention, meter maids, etc. profoundly undignified professions completely undeserving of any respect whatsoever https://twitter.com/spo9globoob/status/1657214685719019520

-- cheyenne🆗️ (@evilvillain1231) Sat May 13 22:42:23 +0000 2023

THIS. Putin's whole concept of the Ukraine War seemed to be "Send in the tanks and force Ukrainians to think of themselves as Russians". That was just never going to work, even if the tanks hadn't gotten blown up.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:38:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

There’s no substitute for strategy—and terrible wars, like the one in Ukraine today, tend to bring us back around to the fundamentals of the task.

My long Sunday piece in @opinion, drawing on my introduction to the New Makers or Modern Strategy.
@AEIfdp
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-05-14/ukraine-russia-war-putin-learns-wars-are-won-by-strategy-not-power?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=230514&utm_campaign=author_20095830

-- Hal Brands (@HalBrands) Sun May 14 17:22:40 +0000 2023

One of China's biggest weaknesses, going back centuries, is that it is politically incapable of effectively taxing its economy.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/10/business/china-property-tax.html?smid=tw-share

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:39:55 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Read the great piece below by @Noahpinion on the EV revolution 🚙

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Sun May 14 17:37:01 +0000 2023

Science Is Strategic tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

China is the poster child for why Grover Norquist is wrong and @jdcmedlock is right.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:41:10 +0000 2023

Attn: Every writer who works at The Economist, the FT, or the WSJ:

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S014759672300032X

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:42:55 +0000 2023

Also, the future of realizing that cutting interest rates doesn't reduce inflation!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 17:46:25 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Today is a historic day for Turkey. One of the most important elections of the last several decades. Not an exaggeration to say that the future of Turkish democracy is at stake. Impatiently, awaiting results and hoping for a clear mandate for the opposition.

-- Daron Acemoglu (@DAcemogluMIT) Sun May 14 12:47:06 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Yudkowsky clique of AI safety seems like they’re pre-negotiating with a fictional Borg collective prior to the invention of warp drive.

-- Sam D'Amico (@sdamico) Sun May 14 18:35:57 +0000 2023

Amazing

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 20:28:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

> get elected to Congress in 2009 at 27 as a Republican
> decorate office in the style of Downton Abbey
> resign from office due to misappropriation of funds in 2015
> come out as gay in 2020
> have an incredibly horny IG page
> refuse to elaborate

-- sockdem (@sock_dem) Sun May 14 17:07:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Chemical rockets are way more efficient than people give them credit for. It just takes THAT much energy to get to orbit.

-- Robotbeat🗽 ➐ (@Robotbeat) Sun May 14 13:33:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

@Noahpinion outlining and rebutting all the arguments against EVs with a cameo for yours truly.

-- AukeHoekstra (@AukeHoekstra) Sun May 14 19:40:03 +0000 2023

AukeHoekstra tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

We have enough minerals for EVs.

EVs cut carbon emissions a lot.

Range anxiety isn't going to be a thing.

EVs won't hurt the developing world or supercharge suburban sprawl.

EVs are, in fact, awesome.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 12:00:01 +0000 2023

Interesting thread, though I still don't see how EVs threaten the fight for greater density. Is the idea that without EVs, climate change would force us to densify our cities or die, and EVs have thrown a lifeline to suburbia?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 23:58:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Though I'm sure many people will find the triumphalist tone annoying, @Noahpinion is basically right about all this. I do want to pick one nit though. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/all-the-arguments-against-evs-are

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Sun May 14 21:22:50 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Also I don't think EVs are going to win because they have big money behind them; I think they're going to win because they're a better technology.

https://twitter.com/drvolts/status/1657866898519003136?t=h2r1h7iD4thqoD2JYn8Vew&s=19

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 00:03:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @drvolts

I think EV enthusiasts like Noah should acknowledge that EVs already have lots of big money behind them. They are basically inevitable. But better land use is *not* inevitable & will likely be opposed by many powerful interests that are fine with EVs.

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Sun May 14 21:54:04 +0000 2023

HAHAHAHA YESSSSS

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Mon May 15 01:09:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

EXCLUSIVE: Wagner chief offered to give Russian troop locations to Ukraine, leak says https://wapo.st/42zBmdP

-- The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) Mon May 15 01:02:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Rainy weekend in Tokyo.☔️☔️ Here's Japanese decora, Bunka Fashion College student, and Takeshita Street shop staff Ito standing in the rain on Omotesando Dori in Harajuku tonight https://instagram.com/ticomeba.ito/ #原宿

-- Tokyo Fashion (@TokyoFashion) Sun May 14 21:49:50 +0000 2023

Everyone thinks they grew up in the greatest era, but for the '90s kids it has the benefit of being true.

-- Mike Bird (@Birdyword) Sat May 13 03:49:55 +0000 2023

Mike Bird tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Just a reminder what a Big Deal the end of the Cold War was for global trade, investment, and reduction in military spending. Data: World Development Indicators and SIPRI.

-- Bert Hofman（郝福满） (@berthofmanecon) Sat May 13 03:15:23 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

BREAKING: Biden breaks campaign promise, restores Trump immigration policy just one day before Title 42 expires as migrants prepare to storm the southern border.

"The Biden administration has finalized a sweeping restriction on asylum that it plans to use to ramp up swift… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1656343853874704385

-- Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) Wed May 10 17:02:02 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

it never ceases to amaze me that the same people who rail endlessly against a shadowy cabal of global elites vote time and time again for people whose mission in life is to cut their taxes

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Sat May 13 02:00:42 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @jdcmedlock

Wild how the WEF is basically just a toothless NGO/convention that does woke-washing for governments and companies but somehow they ended up convincing righties that they’re all-powerful king makers

-- James Medlock (@jdcmedlock) Fri May 12 16:56:20 +0000 2023

AMAZING

I am cheering for this village to succeed

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 07:14:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

NEW: Russian authorities will launch construction of a village outside Moscow for conservative-minded Americans and Canadians next year, the state-run RIA Novosti news agency reported Thursday. @MoscowTimes

https://theintellectualist.com/members/the-intellectualist/activity/29025/

-- The Intellectualist (@highbrow_nobrow) Thu May 11 19:45:59 +0000 2023

Noah's Rule of Asylum Policy is that any policy regime that makes it easier to apply for asylum by crossing the border illegally than by applying legally at a port of entry is an unstable regime that cannot last. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657283755579707392

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 07:16:52 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Starting tonight, people who arrive at the border without using a lawful pathway will be presumed ineligible for asylum. We are ready to humanely process and remove people without a legal basis to remain in the U.S. (1/4)

-- Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas (@SecMayorkas) Fri May 12 04:00:06 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Readers in the West are embracing Japan’s bold women authors | The Economist https://www.economist.com/culture/2023/04/27/readers-in-the-west-are-embracing-japans-bold-women-authors

-- Scott Spacek (@ScottSpacek) Sat May 13 05:51:02 +0000 2023

The answer is "We didn't build housing, because of folks who didn't want any apartment buildings near them"

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 07:24:09 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

‘What the f—k happened to this place?’: Dave Chappelle rails on San Francisco at surprise show https://www.sfgate.com/sf-culture/article/dave-chappelle-masonic-comedy-review-18097136.php?utm_campaign=CMS%20Sharing%20Tools%20(Premium)&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral via @SFGate

-- Adam Mayer (@AdamNMayer) Sat May 13 03:42:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

based Sam Altman🔰

-- Common Wealth 🍁 (@CommonWealth_ca) Fri May 12 20:29:30 +0000 2023

OMG

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 07:40:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

NEW: The city of Baltimore has filed a federal lawsuit against car manufacturers Kia and Hyundai, joining a number of cities who say the companies created a public nuisance by making cars that can be easily stolen. https://trib.al/uNjZz4V

-- The Baltimore Banner (@BaltimoreBanner) Thu May 11 14:49:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Great thread on how remote work is increasing housing demand. In short, the demand for office space didn't go away, it just shifted from office buildings to home offices.

For example, a couple in a one-bedroom apartment might switch to a two-bed if both work from home.

-- Alfred Twu (@alfred_twu) Sat May 13 00:25:36 +0000 2023

Alfred Twu tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

How can it be that dense, high-cost metro areas are simultaneously losing population while seeing rent increases in the remote work era? @ModeledBehavior and @ecarl_economics looked at the data. A thread on their recent paper, Remote Work and Household Formation.

-- California YIMBY (@cayimby) Fri May 12 19:24:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

The Building Trades have helped make it nearly impossible to build housing in San Francisco and now the city's unionized construction workforce has one of the highest unemployment rates in the nation.

https://sfstandard.com/housing-development/downtown-san-francisco-1200-contractors-left-jobless-as-doom-loop-bites/

-- Aaron Green (@AaronGuhreen) Fri May 12 15:17:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“The federal environmental review, which began in 2015, is at least three years behind schedule”

😭

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Sat May 13 15:05:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

So employment is at record levels, so is job satisfaction, and concerns about inflation have greatly receded. And people believe that the economy is in terrible shape https://www.wsj.com/articles/workers-job-satisfaction-survey-c42addba

-- Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) Thu May 11 15:17:45 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Another data point for my thesis - most "economic journalism" is terrible because journalists primarily learn about economics from humanities professors.

-- Phil Magness (@PhilWMagness) Fri May 12 19:59:14 +0000 2023

Phil Magness tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Excited that the classes I’ve been teaching at ⁦@columbiajourn⁩ are landing with some students 😀

-- Rana Foroohar (@RanaForoohar) Thu May 11 15:33:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This is tough. Rodney Andrews was a beacon of economics. His sage advice, humor, and intellect left him without a peer. There isn't an idea I've had that I did not discuss with him first. Most important, he was my dear friend. I was so proud of him. I am devastated. @Rodprime

-- Dr. Trevon D Logan (@TrevonDLogan) Sat May 13 13:37:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Between 2013 and 2021, New York raised its minimum wage by 72% in inflation-adjusted terms, an unprecedentedly large increase. Many economists predicted that this yield massive job losses. A new study indicates it actually spurred job *growth* https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/05/new-study-finds-a-high-minimum-wage-creates-jobs.html

-- Eric Levitz (@EricLevitz) Sat May 13 15:59:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Comparing the views of economic experts with those of the public on a small number of economic questions, from William D. Nordhaus and Douglas Rivers https://www.nber.org/papers/w31217

-- NBER (@nberpubs) Sat May 13 12:00:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Samsung will build a new development facility in Japan, in a highly symbolic initiative that is expected to spur collaboration between the chip industries of Japan and South Korea via @NikkeiAsia

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Tech/Semiconductors/Samsung-to-build-new-chip-development-facility-in-Japan

-- Marika Katanuma (@marikakatanuma) Sat May 13 11:44:12 +0000 2023

Running out of spare parts? 😃

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 16:46:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Five Russian aircraft have crashed in a single day… https://twitter.com/denestorteli/status/1657407649686736896

-- Michael Weiss (@michaeldweiss) Sat May 13 16:30:24 +0000 2023

rabbit = good friend

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 17:05:41 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

RIP Shinzo, we didn’t deserve you

-- dirtman (b/sac) (@terrorproforma) Sat May 13 09:36:40 +0000 2023

Modi's party losing support in the south of India.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 17:18:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Analysis here of Congress trouncing the BJP in Karnataka. State elections aren’t helpful bellwethers for national elections in Modi’s India, but he was heavily involved in campaign. Also illustrates BJP brand’s difficulty in the South, where party is now nowhere in power. https://twitter.com/roshanjnu/status/1657333890535800832

-- Ishaan Tharoor (@ishaantharoor) Sat May 13 11:47:34 +0000 2023

Because of clustering effects. People move to SF for work, not because they think it'll be the most pleasant place to live.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 17:23:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

If San Francisco is a hellhole, why are its housing prices still astronomical?

Yes, draconian housing regulation is key. But you couldn’t make downtown Detroit prices sky-high by strangling construction.

-- Bryan Caplan (@bryan_caplan) Fri May 12 15:43:20 +0000 2023

School doesn't just teach people subject matter; it teaches them how to focus and do mental work.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 17:24:20 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Interesting paper: "The experience of effortful thinking itself increases the ability to accumulate traditional human capital."

If you're on Twitter, you're getting the opposite treatment of this experiment.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fnMY_tSYM6bMVn2w3zvCDzLNPq_lXt4_/view

-- Paul Novosad (@paulnovosad) Sat May 13 11:11:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @csilverandgold

@csilverandgold I dunno man, immigration has bounced back in a big way under Biden.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 07:19:54 +0000 2023

Wheel of Time is actually one of the best depictions of New England WASP culture

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 19:54:35 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Now I'm trying to think of what the most Jewish epic fantasy series is..maybe Raymond E. Feist's "Magician" series?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 19:56:31 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:09:25 +0000 2023

Step 1 for getting over the loss of a pet is to start a global thermonuclear war, so you can say "Well, at least she didn't have to live to see *this* crap."

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:11:35 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Step 1 for stopping climate change is also global thermonuclear war

...coincidentally

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:11:56 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Wow! This Woman Just Spent 40 Minutes Investigating A Twitter Beef Even Though She Has but One Life on God's Green Earth: http://ow.ly/XeEE50HiwoM

-- Reductress (@Reductress) Sat May 13 16:01:26 +0000 2023

LOL Europe getting mad over the IRA when the Chinese auto industry is about to destroy them

https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/chinese-competition-poses-greatest-risk-europes-ev-carmakers-peugeot-ceo-2023-05-09/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:22:01 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Basically, this

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:28:42 +0000 2023

I learned from Willow Lung-Amam's "Trespassers?" that "McMansion" is often code for the kind of large-footprint houses that Asian immigrant families prefer, which disrupt older white residents' preferences for suburban streets with large lawns.

https://www.amazon.com/Trespassers-Asian-Americans-Battle-Suburbia/dp/0520293908

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:32:57 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

The McMansion as harbinger of the American apocalypse https://thebaffler.com/outbursts/bad-manors-wagner

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Sat May 13 17:47:45 +0000 2023

This is good. Focus on teaching people how to get along with people of different backgrounds at work, instead of telling them racist crap about how punctuality and rationality are only for white people or whatever the hell Robin DiAngelo made up

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:34:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Some companies are now saying "diversity and belonging" instead of "diversity and inclusion" — a changing terminology that reflects new thinking among some consultants, who say traditional DEI strategies haven't worked out as planned. https://nyti.ms/3BnZDY5

-- The New York Times (@nytimes) Sat May 13 17:55:04 +0000 2023

Millennials finally moving out the burbs and settling down to make a little money in early middle age.

https://www.axios.com/2023/05/13/us-suburbs-boom-housing-retail

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:39:47 +0000 2023

Another case of American exceptionalism

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 20:41:22 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Why Suicide Rates Are Dropping Around the World | WIRED https://www.wired.com/story/suicide-prevention-falling-rates/?bxid=5dfac0ad3f92a458a45e4860&cndid=26770198&esrc=AUTO_PRINT&source=Email_0_EDT_WIR_NEWSLETTER_0_DAILY_ZZ&utm_brand=wired&utm_campaign=aud-dev&utm_content=WIR_Daily_051223&utm_mailing=WIR_Daily_051223&utm_medium=email&utm_source=nl&utm_term=P1

-- Steven Pinker (@sapinker) Sat May 13 04:30:17 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Here's another example. Just a few people are responsible for a lot of crimes!

https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/12/15/six-men-arrested-in-connection-with-70-crimes-targeting-asian-women-police-say/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 00:10:53 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

And the Netherlands isn't even all that sunny.

-- Erik Brynjolfsson (@erikbryn) Sat May 13 21:43:19 +0000 2023

Erik Brynjolfsson tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This shows the growth of solar electricity in the Netherlands.

in 2012: 0.2%
in 2014: 0.7%
in 2016: 1.4%
in 2018: 3.3%
in 2020: 7%
in 2022: 14%

→ A doubling every two years

-- Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) Thu May 11 17:04:40 +0000 2023

rabbit = good friend

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 01:13:31 +0000 2023

We need more heroes like this 👇

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 01:16:46 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion i moved out to the burbs and proceeded to immediately start horrifying boomers by going to public meetings to support dense housing

-- matt (@mpopv) Sun May 14 01:15:43 +0000 2023

This is really interesting. A big reason why people hate inflation -- even moderate inflation -- is transaction costs.

It takes a lot of mental effort to monitor price changes and find substitutes.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/interactive/2023/inflation-calculator-spending-interest-rates/

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 02:20:44 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

It's basically become a progressive article of faith that 4% or 5% inflation isn't that bad. But transaction costs fall heavily on the poor and working class, who are already massively over-hassled.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 02:21:54 +0000 2023

DeSantis doesn't exist, and this photo is further confirmation

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 02:42:13 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Im sorry, I just don’t see it. Because anytime he gains a small amount of good press he makes a face like this. His face is self-sabotaging

-- Blake Allen (@Blake_Allen13) Sun May 14 00:43:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

the funny part is … if you want to talk about people who are effective rightists … I sort of doubt a number of the people in the Dean Preston faction even voted for Clinton or Biden. Also worth asking where they stand on Putin as an “anti-imperialist” 😂

-- non functional tubule (@meatspacemaxima) Sun May 14 02:48:48 +0000 2023

non functional tubule tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

tech people are right wing remains one of my favorite sf leftist delusions

-- 😈🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@spktrvc) Fri May 12 15:52:39 +0000 2023

One consistent theme when I read about the 70s is how the political battle lines of the 60s became much more fractured and complex in the following decade, contributing to general confusion and exhaustion.

Man, I feel that now.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 02:56:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

weird how Big Pharma companies make most of their revenue in the US but almost none of their profits are reported here... 🤔

-- Alec Stapp (@AlecStapp) Sat May 13 21:41:59 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

What eventually emerged from that confusion was the conservative revolution, but I don't see the current right in America prepared to execute anything similar. Jesus and tax cuts and 'Murica have been replaced by conspiracy theories and memes.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 03:00:05 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Now, maybe a new non-Trumpy Right will emerge later, but remember that the Reagan Revolution could be seen many years in advance. Reagan almost beat Ford in the 1976 primary, and Goldwater had already shaped the conservative movement back in the 60s.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 03:06:35 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

So I'm pretty pessimistic that the American Right will be anything except anti-Ukraine, pro-1/6, and anti-immigration for years to come. But I think people will also tire of Biden-style progressivism (and will never embrace Bernie leftism).

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 03:08:25 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Honestly I don't see any U.S. political movement capable of garnering the kind of majority that Reagan (rightly or wrongly) got in the 80s. Maybe by the end of this decade something new will emerge.

(end)

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun May 14 03:09:52 +0000 2023

It costs those students about $125,000 to take a 9 month course with you that will prepare them to land a job where salaries begin at $30,000 a year.

the neoliberalism is coming from inside the house

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Fri May 12 02:47:09 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Excited that the classes I’ve been teaching at ⁦@columbiajourn⁩ are landing with some students 😀

-- Rana Foroohar (@RanaForoohar) Thu May 11 15:33:59 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Feynman's moment of epiphany about the Lagrangian in QM as recounted in his Nobel lecture. "You Americans are always trying to find out how something can be used. That's a good way to discover things." https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/1965/feynman/lecture/?fbclid=IwAR3TayGccVle8zXZw9JuZs-ETMO1wPpa4PRl6yD3qRfsyvahzeSLBwBRBXU

-- Ash Jogalekar (@curiouswavefn) Thu May 11 14:06:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

All three of these were true at some point for the industrial revolution.

-- Samuel Hammond 🌐🏛 (@hamandcheese) Fri May 12 03:22:25 +0000 2023

Samuel Hammond 🌐🏛 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Three things that probably can’t all be true
- AGI is imminent (this year/decade/century)
- AGI will disrupt everything
- The net number of jobs won’t change when it arrives

-- Gary Marcus (@GaryMarcus) Fri May 12 02:26:51 +0000 2023

Build more subways!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 05:45:36 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This is a hell of a finding:

"We find [subways] have reduced population-related CO₂ emissions by about 50% for the 192 cities [studied] and about 11% globally." (h/t @giulio_mattioli)

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163691

-- David Zipper (@DavidZipper) Thu May 11 13:08:47 +0000 2023

I wish I could have spent more time with this little one.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:03:49 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Sometimes when Cinnamon is sleeping, I see her mouth moving, and I know she's dreaming about eating.

So I put a little treat in front of her nose. Suddenly she wakes up, and her dreams have come true! ❤️

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sun Jul 24 08:02:13 +0000 2022

Note where Japan is on this graph

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:10:09 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Levels of interpersonal trust in the US are far lower than what we would expect given its level of socio-economic development.

Why? 🤔🤔

-- Science Is Strategic (@scienceisstrat1) Fri May 12 06:02:53 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

Either you believe that Japan is a lower-trust society than the United States, or you believe that trust surveys don't really measure anything useful.

Your choice.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:19:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- non aesthetic things (@PicturesFoIder) Thu May 11 13:57:05 +0000 2023

Um, this is cool

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/05/is-it-good-to-say-um.html

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:45:41 +0000 2023

Cooool

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:46:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

😮 Every now and then, we stumble upon a video that reminds us of the magic of additive manufacturing...

A new ceramic AM process is being developed by researchers from Jiangnan University in China.

🧵 (1/3)

-- Aniwaa (@Aniwaa3d) Thu May 11 08:22:32 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I love watching unexpected data absolutely break people's brains 😂😂😂

Guilty pleasure.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 06:53:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Remember all that quitting that happened in 2021 and 2022? One positive effect of the churning pandemic job market is that workers are more satisfied with their jobs now than they've been in decades https://www.wsj.com/articles/workers-job-satisfaction-survey-c42addba?st=r9f1pw8zs7robbm

-- Lauren Weber (@laurenweberWSJ) Thu May 11 17:26:16 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

A mass timber apartment in Oakland (1510 Webster) is going up—and they built one of the floors *in a single day* 🤯

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Fri May 12 14:49:29 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Partisan split is what it is. But notable, and perhaps ominous for Biden, that self-identified Independents view the economy more like Republicans view the economy.

-- Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) Fri May 12 14:12:00 +0000 2023

Joe Weisenthal tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment by Political Affiliation:

-- Michael McDonough (@M_McDonough) Fri May 12 14:09:50 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Top effort from whoever did this Japanese Prigozhin voiceover 👏

-- Francis Scarr (@francis_scarr) Fri May 12 15:21:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

My co-author, @akorinek, explains why we expect productivity to surge over the coming decade.

-- Erik Brynjolfsson (@erikbryn) Fri May 12 14:22:12 +0000 2023

Erik Brynjolfsson tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @akorinek

We identify 𝘁𝘄𝗼 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗹𝘀 𝗲𝗻𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗴𝗿𝗼𝘄𝘁𝗵
1) Generative AI boosts the 𝑙𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑙 of productivity of cognitive workers (about 60% of the economy)
2) It accelerates innovation, boosting the 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 of productivity 🚀

-- Anton Korinek (@akorinek) Fri May 12 01:21:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Substitutes Are Everywhere: The Great German Gas Debate in Retrospect http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/05/substitutes-are-everywhere-the-great-german-gas-debate-in-retrospect.html

-- Marginal Revolution (@MargRev) Fri May 12 11:25:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Replying to @ThePlumLineGS

Dems really have to find a way to communicate that one key to a stable, orderly system is *more* legal immigration, not less, that a well managed asylum system is *possible.* Stop validating the GOP frame that the only answer to disorder is restrictions.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/05/12/trump-cnn-town-hall-family-separations-house-gop/

-- Greg Sargent (@ThePlumLineGS) Fri May 12 12:26:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This was an absolutely mindblowing point from @AliWolfEcon I hadn't thought about before.

Lots of people talk about how the housing market will get looser as Boomers age/die.

But what if they're making the hottest housing markets even worse right now?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-12/transcript-the-fed-hiked-rates-and-housing-is-as-broken-as-ever?srnd=oddlots&sref=vuYGislZ

-- Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) Fri May 12 17:24:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Incentives - not requirements - in action.

-- Todd N. Tucker (@toddntucker) Fri May 12 13:19:31 +0000 2023

Todd N. Tucker tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Really interesting chart from @ChadBown's recent @PIIE working paper on the IRA. Despite domestic content provisions in IRA, EV imports from #EU and Korea have stayed on trend. Early days, but still.

-- Cullen Hendrix (@cullenhendrix) Fri May 05 23:20:10 +0000 2023

Me after showing up in Japan and wading through a crowd of tourists to get to literally any mid-level restaurant or park:

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 17:41:41 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I would love to hear @Jennifer_Hiller explain how & why she wrote hundreds of words on this subject & *did not mention the vast, coordinated right-wing campaign to spread disinformation & organize opposition*.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-reduction-act-backlash-clean-energy-wind-solar-f3d4d900?linkId=100000201781107

-- David Roberts (@drvolts) Fri May 12 17:32:52 +0000 2023

Russia's terrible performance in the Ukraine war is a huge embarrassment for China, and they'd like to end it before their main ally's economy and military deteriorate further.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 17:47:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Might be a sign that the Chinese are worried about the course of the war (for Russia) and want to try and arrange a peace sooner rather than later. https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1656940198968606720

-- Phillips P. OBrien (@PhillipsPOBrien) Fri May 12 08:34:24 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This iconic reply on @mnolangray’s Burger King tweet.

-- YIMBYLAND (@YIMBYLAND) Fri May 12 10:35:56 +0000 2023

YIMBYLAND tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What's a tweet that's so canonical in your mind you make shorthand reference to it, even if people might not know what you're talking about? (I sometimes just say "uh oh y'all it's gettin' kinda hazy" expecting people to get it)

-- cowboy postbop (Dan Lehner) (@danlehnermusic) Wed May 10 15:13:48 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

-- Kane 謝凱堯 (@kane) Thu May 11 04:46:23 +0000 2023

Kane 謝凱堯 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

BART is running trains at slower speeds due to wet weather. Please add 20 minutes to your planned travel time to factor in delays. Use our Trip Planner and check Real Time Departures on the BART official app or http://bart.gov

-- BART Alert (@SFBARTalert) Tue May 02 14:54:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

I wrote about an incredible experiment in which microscopic, single-celled yeast evolved to become multicellular organisms visible to the naked eye, recreating one of evolution’s most pivotal transitions in a lab, in just one year.

https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/05/multicellular-organism-evolution-yeast-experiment/674030/

-- Ed Yong isn’t really here (@edyong209) Fri May 12 15:02:42 +0000 2023

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:14:21 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Who wins from US debt default? China. https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/who-wins-us-debt-default-china

-- Catherine Rampell (@crampell) Fri May 12 17:44:33 +0000 2023

Austerity, the video game!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:39:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Econ twitter!

Play our budget game - Swipe left and right to determine what the federal government would look like if you ran it, then share your personality

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/interactive/2023/national-debt-cut-game/?itid=hp_mv-top-stories_most-read_p008_f001_2

-- Jeff Stein (@JStein_WaPo) Fri May 12 13:20:06 +0000 2023

ChatGPT-4 is replacing Wikipedia as my vehicle for mainlining random knowledge during my leisure time. I worry that I'm occasionally learning wrong stuff ("hallucinations"), but the ability to customize questions outweighs it, for now.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:42:29 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

I still can't use ChatGPT for writing, even with GPT-4, because the risk of inserting even a small number of fake facts or bad interpretations into a blog post is unacceptable, meaning that it requires so much time to fact-check that it doesn't save effort.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:45:13 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

In general, ChatGPT is more useful in terms of pointing me in the direction of ideas and facts than in giving me the final word on them. It's like asking a human friend to explain stuff -- sometimes they get it wrong, but you get exposed to knowledge.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:47:07 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

In general, asking ChatGPT-4 about random stuff is more accurate than A) asking my dad, B) reading a book by Yuval Noah Harari, or C) asking Twitter.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:54:55 +0000 2023

Replying to @Noahpinion

We've just got to accept that, like scientific papers, all "knowledge" contains a nontrivial portion of bullshit, and that cross-checking and investigation merely asymptotes you toward a somewhat lower level of bullshit.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 18:57:35 +0000 2023

Who the hell thinks this about America? Have they not seen the photos from San Francisco???

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 19:00:50 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This is a national disgrace.

-- 𝐉𝐚𝐲 𝐂𝐨𝐬𝐭 (@Jay__Cost) Fri May 12 01:47:37 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Data this week shows pace of inflation continues to slow. One detail: Inflation for manufacturing & construction inputs is now below pre-pandemic. As we implement on our Investing in America agenda, that means lower costs for investments in clean energy, semiconductors, & more.

-- Heather Boushey (@hboushey46) Fri May 12 17:08:58 +0000 2023

Rough estimate is that ChatGPT-4 is full of shit about half as often as ChatGPT-3.5, though that's still a nontrivial amount of full-of-shit-ness.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 19:06:44 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Replying to @Noahpinion

@Noahpinion Have you used ChatGPT-3.5 enough to compare the two? I've tried doing this in ChatGPT-3.5 and it's just so often wrong that I can't rely on it at all, even though it does allow for very custom questions which I like.

-- S h (@Alaric410) Fri May 12 19:05:18 +0000 2023

Has SF suddenly decided that living in a society requires some amount of rules?

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 19:19:18 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

And now there is city staff here clearing out the unlicensed street vendors from 16th st bart plaza?!

Why all this effort all of a sudden? https://twitter.com/dradding/status/1656114285054132224

-- Daniel Radding (@dradding) Fri May 12 00:12:03 +0000 2023

Honestly, I think a whole lot of crime is due to a few repeat offenders (one might even call them "superpredators"), and that locking this very small number of people behind bars ("carceral solutions") will decrease the demand for state repression of whole communities.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 19:20:47 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

A man was arrested Wednesday in connection to nine bank robberies in a six-day span, the San Francisco Police Department said. https://trib.al/4AbU8u0

-- KRON4 News (@kron4news) Fri May 12 01:28:19 +0000 2023

Hell yeah

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 22:33:17 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Finally!!! Builders remedy spotted in Palo Alto! https://sfyimby.com/2023/05/builders-remedy-plan-for-housing-at-3997-fabian-way-palo-alto.html

-- YIMBY Law (@Yimby_Law) Fri May 12 20:44:43 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

It’s weird how you can go to Targets in places like Fresno California that are much poorer and have much higher poverty rates than SF, and things like deodorant aren’t kept behind shatterproof glass.

-- Wally Nowinski (@Nowooski) Fri May 12 18:31:12 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

does it ever give you pause that fossil-fuel backed Texas GOP legislators are trying to kill renewable energy by…copying CEQA? CEQA killed a homeless housing project in Berkeley *this week.* Does this ever give you a “are we the baddies” moment?

-- Armand Domalewski (@ArmandDoma) Fri May 12 20:27:00 +0000 2023

Armand Domalewski tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Housing is being built in CA where local government encourages density and re-use of abandoned commercial/industrial sites. The Baum-Snow national report sees the same issues beyond CA: exclusionary zoning and high construction costs. #KeepCEQAStrong https://twitter.com/BadPlanningCA/status/1655705459117133824

-- CEQA Works (@CEQAWorks) Fri May 12 15:56:38 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Wind and solar energy saved Texans $11 billion in 2022

https://pv-magazine-usa.com/2023/05/12/wind-and-solar-energy-saved-texans-11-billion-in-2022/ @pvmagazine

-- Mark Z. Jacobson (@mzjacobson) Fri May 12 18:00:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“8 of the 16 patients have had no recurrence of disease over an 18-month monitoring period after treatment, and it's safe to say that that's unheard of in this disease”

@Dereklowe on a promising trial of an mRNA-based cancer treatment

(h/t @salonium)

https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/vaccine-pancreatic-cancer-treatment

-- Jason Crawford (@jasoncrawford) Fri May 12 18:57:58 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Always nice to get a bit of amplification from Dr. Krugman.

-- Brad Setser (@Brad_Setser) Fri May 12 18:46:11 +0000 2023

Brad Setser tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Tax avoidance is a big deal https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/12/opinion/pharma-tax-avoidance-trump.html

-- Paul Krugman (@paulkrugman) Fri May 12 18:42:33 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Or maybe it’s because we’ve had bad — and worse — riots before in American history, but only once has the peaceful transfer of power been violated by a mob encouraged by a sitting president who tried to steal an election.

-- Jonah Goldberg (@JonahDispatch) Fri May 12 11:53:29 +0000 2023

Jonah Goldberg tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Why will January 6th be Remembered Forever and the far worse BLM riots Intentionally Forgotten?

Because of who the story-tellers are.

-- Wilfred X. Reilly, Californian (@wil_da_beast630) Fri May 12 04:51:07 +0000 2023

When we were recovering from the Great Recession or making our way through the pandemic, this was fine.

But we're not in an economic crisis right now, and we're still having the government borrow 5-6% of GDP.

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 22:48:27 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

“The US is eroding its position in every long-term international comparison on public finance strength.” https://archive.is/LpzY8

-- Balaji (@balajis) Fri May 12 19:46:40 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

TikTok CEO lied under oath claiming the co wasn’t controlled by the CCP:

ByteDance “guided how the co advanced core Communist values” & possessed a “death switch”

“The committee maintained supreme access to all the co data, even data stored in the US”

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/12/technology/tiktok-bytedance-lawsuit-china.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare

-- Jacob Helberg (@jacobhelberg) Fri May 12 23:08:48 +0000 2023

🔥🔥🔥

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 23:24:05 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

New-ish phenomenon: seeing a lot of Indian-origin folks in SV getting organized politically on India related issues we care about - skilled immigration, consulate wait times, etc.

-- Sriram Krishnan - sriramk.eth (@sriramk) Fri May 12 19:12:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Ahhh good, my sofa is free for its proper use 🙂

-- Shitake-bun (@BunShitake) Fri May 12 22:43:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Climate change isn’t linear. Some parts of world could become bitterly cold, and major sources of agriculture left without water.

-- Sharky Laguana (@Sharkyl) Fri May 12 12:27:53 +0000 2023

Sharky Laguana tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

What would happen if there's 2.5 °C global warming, and the overturning circulation of the Atlantic (#AMOC) shuts down? The recent OECD report "Climate Tipping Points" has this interesting graph of the temperature and precipitation effects:
1. Major Northern Hemisphere cooling...

-- Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf 🌏 🦣 (@rahmstorf) Fri May 12 10:06:00 +0000 2023

Oh Jesus Christ

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 23:36:42 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Former Trump economic adviser Larry Kudlow says, “I just don't buy these horrific scenarios” about the debt ceiling. “If, you know, if an interest rate payment was 10 days late, and the price of that would be a major, major spending reduction, it probably would be a good idea.”

-- Eric Kleefeld (becoming a parody of myself) (@EricKleefeld) Fri May 12 16:35:51 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Whoa: Up to 34% of neuroscience papers and 24% of medical papers published in 2020 were probably fake. The number of fake papers has nearly doubled since 2010. [Preprint.] https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.05.06.23289563v1 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1656808966872256515

-- Steve Stewart-Williams (@SteveStuWill) Thu May 11 23:50:14 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Ukrainian businesses now expect economic activity to increase for the first time since the Russian Invasion

There's still been a massive amount of damage done to the Ukrainian economy, but we might be on the precipice of a bit of a recovery

-- Joey Politano 🏳️‍🌈 (@JosephPolitano) Fri May 12 22:58:07 +0000 2023

China could have ruled the internet, but they were afraid someone would hear about Tiananmen Square

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Fri May 12 23:41:52 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Find Hindu nationalists on Twitter annoying? Imagine if the great Chinese firewall gets taken down tomorrow.

-- Rishi 🗽🌐🔰🏙🥥 (@RishiJoeSanu) Fri May 12 21:38:54 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

“Why does the Biden administration keep talking about the unemployment rate?”

I dunno, probably because the average voter is not 19 years old, and they still very much remember when the unemployment rate was 10% in 2009 and it took years for the economy to recover.

-- Tobin Stone 🌐 (@tobinjstone) Fri May 12 17:47:15 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

A 14-year-old boy likely saved his 8-year-old sister from being abducted by shooting the attacked with his slingshot in the head and chest, police report.
#news
https://idahonews.com/news/nation-world/brother-uses-slingshot-to-fend-off-teen-trying-to-abduct-sister-police-say-alpena-post-troopers-chest-head-wounds-attempted-kidnapping-child-enticement-charges#

-- CBS2 News (@CBS2Boise) Fri May 12 23:42:03 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Taiwanese American Cultural Festival is this Saturday in San Francisco Union Square! 🧋🧋🧋
https://www.tap-sf.org/tacf

-- Alfred Twu (@alfred_twu) Sat May 13 00:07:10 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

Is “China’s ambition is clearly to build a new world order with China in its centre” now the accepted view of the PRC’s ambitions about changing the global order?

-- Bill Bishop (@niubi) Fri May 12 13:05:05 +0000 2023

Bill Bishop tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

“The China issue is much more complex than the Russia issue,” Borrell wrote in a private letter to EU foreign ministers seen by the Financial Times. “China’s ambition is clearly to build a new world order with China in its centre" https://www.ft.com/content/b18e073e-f280-4189-82a1-536f39eb3ebb

-- Bill Bishop (@niubi) Fri May 12 11:30:57 +0000 2023

Good to see Wagner using their ammunition on Putin's military. Now march on Moscow, guys!

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 01:34:00 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Prigozhin invited the leaders of Russian defense ministry to Bakhmut to stop their fleeing troops. He also said that Wagner PMC was "using their ammunition to stop the fleeing servicemen of the Russian army".

(From Prigozhin's response to Viktor Sobolev, member of defense… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657126013002809346

-- Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) Fri May 12 20:50:04 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 Retweeted

This rabbit saving a cat who couldn’t find its way out

-- B&S (@_B___S) Sat May 13 00:27:59 +0000 2023

I told you, rabbit = good friend

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 01:38:32 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

This rabbit saving a cat who couldn’t find its way out

-- B&S (@_B___S) Sat May 13 00:27:59 +0000 2023

Mmm, fight fuckers fight

-- Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 (@Noahpinion) Sat May 13 01:51:19 +0000 2023

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇦 tweeted this while quoting the below tweet.

Girkin and his "Angry Patriots Club" comrades are clearly preparing for the worst, perhaps ready to take power in Russia:

"When it comes to taking part in politics, today we say that the Club is just a collection point for people like that… but in case of worsening of the… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657128922889297923

-- Dmitri (@wartranslated) Fri May 12 21:01:37 +0000 2023